Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4, M4 Sport
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.96
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
82% (377/461)83% (344/416)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.78
Total shots
910
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
82% (377/461)83% (344/416)
Long passes
42% (20/48)55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
60% (60/100)70% (71/102)
Crosses
25% (4/16)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.76
Throw-ins
1627
Fouls
1314
Tackles
82% (9/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5046
Clearances
1930
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.780.00
Goals prevented
-0.220.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Kapralik A. 🟨,
  • 61', Gechter L. 🟨,
  • 62', Schuler L. 🟨,
  • 65', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
  • 74', Tolkin J. ↓, Nekic I. ↑,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Kownacki D. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
  • 76', Komenda M. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
  • 77', Cuisance M. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
  • 77', Karbownik M. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
  • 85', Davidsen K. 🟨,
  • 85', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
  • 85', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 86', Eichhorn K. ↓, Leistner T. ↑,
  • 87', Reese F. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kownacki D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ernst T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
40.8%		Draw
26.8%		Hertha Berlin
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 26.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.9% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.32 ↓
    (2.34)    		 3.54 ↓
    (3.57)    		 2.92 ↑
    (2.86)    		 5.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Hertha will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Holstein Kiel (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Holstein Kiel (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Holstein Kiel (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 50%). Hertha (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
    • In recent matches, Holstein Kiel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hertha is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hertha has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Heel Injury) Zec D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Jensen L. (Injury) Kownacki D. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    01.03.2024 Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel 2:2
    24.09.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin 2:3
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    23.11.2025 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 4:1 ✺
    13.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Silkeborg IF 3:2
    09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel 2:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    21.11.2025 Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Braunschweig 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Kaiserslautern - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺
    28.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Elversberg 3:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke29177541:251658
    2Paderborn29176651:341757
    3Hannover29158649:351453
    4Elversberg29157749:321752
    5Darmstadt291311550:341650
    6Hertha Berlin29138843:34947
    7Kaiserslautern291441149:41846
    8Karlsruher SC291171147:53-640
    9Nurnberg291071238:40-237
    10Bochum29991143:41236
    11SG Dynamo Dresden29881347:47032
    12Holstein Kiel29881336:43-732
    13Arminia Bielefeld29871442:44-231
    14Dusseldorf29941627:45-1831
    15Magdeburg29931746:55-930
    16Braunschweig29861531:49-1830
    17Greuther Furth29861540:61-2130
    18Preussen Munster296101331:47-1628

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