Mainz II vs Homburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Mainz II - Homburg
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Malli Y. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 68', 2 - 0, Konig R. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Kober M. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Kober M. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz II
36.9%
Draw
24.9%
Homburg
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 24.3% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 23.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mainz II - Homburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.19)
    3.71
    (3.74)
    2.41
    (2.67)
    8.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 1.
    • Mainz II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Homburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz II - Homburg were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Homburg - Mainz II 4:0
    11.08.2024 Mainz II - Homburg 0:0
    05.05.2024 Homburg - Mainz II 1:2
    28.10.2023 Mainz II - Homburg 2:4
    21.10.2022 Homburg - Mainz II 0:3
    Latest results of Mainz II
    Latest results of Homburg
    30.08.2025 Homburg - Astoria Walldorf 1:3
    23.08.2025 Balingen - Homburg 1:4
    20.08.2025 Homburg - Bahlinger 6:0
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg1091032:82428
    2Steinbach Haiger1054122:13919
    3Mainz II1054119:13619
    4FSV Frankfurt1052315:12317
    5Walldorf1043319:16315
    6Grossaspach1035228:20814
    7FC 08 Homburg1035223:16714
    8Eintracht Trier1042420:18214
    9Stutt. Kickers1042412:15-314
    10Kassel1034319:15413
    11Sandhausen1041520:24-413
    12Freiburg II1034322:27-513
    13Offenbach1033418:22-412
    14Fulda-Lehnerz1024416:15110
    15Balingen1031613:26-1310
    16Alzenau1022613:23-108
    17Bahlinger1013610:27-176
    18Schott Mainz1012715:26-115

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