Homburg vs Schott Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Homburg - Schott Mainz
Result
2:0
30/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Kovacic O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Ahlbach D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Qenaj A. ,

Chances of winning


Homburg
65.6%
Draw
18.6%
Schott Mainz
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 18.5% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 14.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Schott Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schott Mainz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Homburg - Schott Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.42)
    4.95
    (4.95)
    5.84
    (5.47)
    8.6%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 4.
    • Homburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Schott Mainz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Schott Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Homburg is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Homburg - Schott Mainz were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Schott Mainz - Homburg 1:2
    29.08.2023 Homburg - Schott Mainz 2:2
    Latest results of Homburg
    Latest results of Schott Mainz
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg1091032:82428
    2Steinbach Haiger1054122:13919
    3Mainz II1054119:13619
    4FSV Frankfurt1052315:12317
    5Walldorf1043319:16315
    6Grossaspach1035228:20814
    7FC 08 Homburg1035223:16714
    8Eintracht Trier1042420:18214
    9Stutt. Kickers1042412:15-314
    10Kassel1034319:15413
    11Sandhausen1041520:24-413
    12Freiburg II1034322:27-513
    13Offenbach1033418:22-412
    14Fulda-Lehnerz1024416:15110
    15Balingen1031613:26-1310
    16Alzenau1022613:23-108
    17Bahlinger1013610:27-176
    18Schott Mainz1012715:26-115

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation