Schott Mainz vs Homburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:7
04/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 33', 0 - 1, El Helwe H. ,
  • 39', Roden J. 🟥,
  • 41', 0 - 2, El Helwe H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 53', 0 - 3, Inanoglu K. ,
  • 56', 0 - 4, Inanoglu K. ,
  • 63', 0 - 5, Qenaj A. ,
  • 81', 0 - 6, Goncalves M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 7, Busch S. ,

Chances of winning


Schott Mainz
26.1%
Draw
20.7%
Homburg
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 19.7% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2% 19.1% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schott Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schott Mainz's performance.
  • Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Homburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schott Mainz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Homburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Schott Mainz - Homburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (5.84)
    4.46
    (4.65)
    1.74
    (1.42)
    8.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Schott Mainz - Homburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Homburg is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Schott Mainz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schott Mainz - Homburg were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Homburg - Schott Mainz 2:0
    02.03.2024 Schott Mainz - Homburg 1:2
    29.08.2023 Homburg - Schott Mainz 2:2
    Latest results of Schott Mainz
    Latest results of Homburg
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grossaspach28177476:383858
    2Freiberg28177460:243658
    3FC 08 Homburg28139660:332748
    4FSV Frankfurt28146854:351948
    5Mainz II28138747:351247
    6Kassel28128850:43744
    7Fulda-Lehnerz28119845:37842
    8Stutt. Kickers281331240:38242
    9Walldorf281261057:56142
    10Sandhausen281261044:49-542
    11Steinbach Haiger28118956:52441
    12Freiburg II281061258:63-536
    13Eintracht Trier281061240:46-636
    14Offenbach28981145:47-235
    15Alzenau28651734:57-2323
    16Balingen28551829:72-4320
    17Schott Mainz28541933:68-3519
    18Bahlinger ✔ 28291726:61-3515

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bahlinger is Relegated to