Homburg vs Sonnenhof Großaspach – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Kleinschrodt M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Steinhart P. ,

Chances of winning


Homburg
47.7%
Draw
23.1%
Sonnenhof Großaspach
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 23.1% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 22.4% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homburg's performance.
  • Sonnenhof Großaspach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sonnenhof Großaspach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sonnenhof Großaspach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.27)
    3.99
    (3.96)
    3.17
    (2.48)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Großaspach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    Latest results of Homburg
    20.09.2025 Mainz II - Homburg 2:2
    30.08.2025 Homburg - Astoria Walldorf 1:3
    23.08.2025 Balingen - Homburg 1:4
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg1091032:82428
    2Steinbach Haiger1054122:13919
    3Mainz II1054119:13619
    4FSV Frankfurt1052315:12317
    5Walldorf1043319:16315
    6Grossaspach1035228:20814
    7FC 08 Homburg1035223:16714
    8Eintracht Trier1042420:18214
    9Stutt. Kickers1042412:15-314
    10Kassel1034319:15413
    11Sandhausen1041520:24-413
    12Freiburg II1034322:27-513
    13Offenbach1033418:22-412
    14Fulda-Lehnerz1024416:15110
    15Balingen1031613:26-1310
    16Alzenau1022613:23-108
    17Bahlinger1013610:27-176
    18Schott Mainz1012715:26-115

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
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