Homburg vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal
Football German DFB Pokal Homburg - St. Pauli
Result
1:4
05/12/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/8-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Voyo
germanyGermanySky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomViaplay

Chances of winning


Homburg
10.3%		Draw
16.9%		St. Pauli
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.9% 18.7% 67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 17.4% 62.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Homburg - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 9.07 ↑
    (6.76)    		 5.66 ↑
    (5.02)    		 1.3 ↓
    (1.4)    		 5.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Homburg - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 100% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Homburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match St. Pauli is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Zoller S. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Homburg
    02.12.2023 Hoffenheim II - Homburg 1:1 ✺
    25.11.2023 Homburg - Eintracht Frankfurt II 2:0
    18.11.2023 VfR Aalen - Homburg 1:6
    12.11.2023 Stuttgarter Kickers - Homburg 2:2
    04.11.2023 Homburg - TSV Steinbach Haiger 3:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    01.12.2023 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺
    25.11.2023 Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli 2:3 ✺
    10.11.2023 St. Pauli - Hannover 0:0 ✺
    03.11.2023 Elversberg - St. Pauli 0:2 ✺
    31.10.2023 St. Pauli - Schalke 04 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    2SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    3CottbusHannover1 : 0
    4SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    5FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    6Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    7BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    8PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    9DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    10MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    11Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    12UlmElversberg0 : 1
    13LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    14RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    15EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    16RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    17LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    18Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    19HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    20BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    24GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    25SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    26BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    27HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    28FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    29RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    30WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1IllertissenMagdeburg
    2CottbusRB Leipzig
    3Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld
    4HeidenheimHamburger SV
    5B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC
    6Hertha BerlinElversberg
    7Greuther FurthKaiserslautern
    8Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund
    9DarmstadtSchalke
    10AugsburgBochum
    11DusseldorfFreiburg
    12PaderbornBayer Leverkusen
    13MainzStuttgart
    14WolfsburgHolstein Kiel
    15FC KolnBayern Munich
    16St. PauliHoffenheim
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