Hønefoss vs Follo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2711
Shots on target
166
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
2711
Shots on target
166
Shots off target
115
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Overby E. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Skoglund N. ,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Overby E. ,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 59', Olimb M. , Bukten J. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Elvevold H. ,
  • 69', Elvevold H. , Frohaug A. ,
  • 76', Togersen E. , Helling G. ,
  • 76', Tjostheim E. , Joves V. ,
  • 77', Tomas N. , Hennig E. ,
  • 85', Joves V. 🟨,
  • 85', Gonella R. , Jorde J. ,

Chances of winning


Hønefoss
68.5%
Draw
17.9%
Follo
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 22.7% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 23.2% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hønefoss's performance.
  • Follo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Follo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hønefoss that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follo than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Follo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hønefoss - Follo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.87)
    6.07
    (4.03)
    7.98
    (3.19)
    -8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Hønefoss is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Follo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Hønefoss is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hønefoss won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hønefoss won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hønefoss - Follo were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Follo - Hønefoss 2:3
    13.02.2025 Hønefoss - Follo 2:1
    Latest results of Hønefoss
    21.09.2025 Rana - Hønefoss 1:0
    13.09.2025 Hønefoss - Grorud 1:1
    07.09.2025 Tromsdalen - Hønefoss 5:1
    30.08.2025 Hønefoss - Strindheim 8:1
    27.08.2025 Hønefoss - Lillestrøm SK 2:3
    Latest results of Follo
    21.09.2025 Follo - Tromsdalen 2:1
    13.09.2025 Kjelsås - Follo 3:1
    06.09.2025 Follo - Eidsvold Turn 1:1
    31.08.2025 Alta - Follo 1:2
    27.08.2025 Follo - Lyn 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion

    Semi-finals
    1MossBye
    2BrattvagGrorud2 : 0, 2 : 1

    Final
    1MossBrattvag2 : 2, 2 : 1