Hornchurch vs Horsham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Hornchurch - Horsham
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Balanta A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
51.6%
Draw
25.9%
Horsham
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.2% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 23.8% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Hornchurch - Horsham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.72)
    3.56
    (3.8)
    4.11
    (4.13)
    8.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hornchurch is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Horsham were as follows:
    06.01.2024 Hornchurch - Horsham 1:1
    12.08.2023 Horsham - Hornchurch 1:2
    01.04.2023 Horsham - Hornchurch 3:2
    22.10.2022 Hornchurch - Horsham 3:1
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    Latest results of Horsham
    20.09.2025 Horsham - Totton 0:2
    06.09.2025 Maidstone United - Horsham 0:3
    30.08.2025 Horsham - Salisbury 1:1
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch1284026:131328
    2Weston-super-Mare1181218:81025
    3AFC Totton1171319:12722
    4Torquay1263320:14621
    5Maidenhead1162315:9620
    6Hemel Hempstead1154212:8419
    7Chesham1245313:10317
    8Dover1345420:19117
    9Maidstone1245312:13-117
    10Hampton & Richmond1144318:16216
    11Horsham FC1244416:14216
    12Ebbsfleet1144312:11116
    13Worthing1143417:14315
    14Dorking1143414:14015
    15Chelmsford1143411:13-215
    16Tonbridge1134414:18-413
    17Slough1133515:20-512
    18Dag & Red1225513:21-811
    19Bath1124511:16-510
    20Farnborough1123617:22-59
    21Enfield Town112368:15-79
    22Eastbourne Boro111557:13-68
    23Salisbury111557:14-78
    24Chippenham111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation