Hornchurch vs Horsham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Balanta A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
51.6%
Draw
25.9%
Horsham
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.2% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 23.8% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Hornchurch - Horsham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.72)
    3.56
    (3.8)
    4.11
    (4.13)
    8.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hornchurch is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Horsham were as follows:
    06.01.2024 Hornchurch - Horsham 1:1
    12.08.2023 Horsham - Hornchurch 1:2
    01.04.2023 Horsham - Hornchurch 3:2
    22.10.2022 Hornchurch - Horsham 3:1
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    Latest results of Horsham
    20.09.2025 Horsham - Totton 0:2
    06.09.2025 Maidstone United - Horsham 0:3
    30.08.2025 Horsham - Salisbury 1:1
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dorking34207762:402267
    2Hornchurch34188857:461162
    3Worthing351871076:423461
    4Torquay351771164:491558
    5Ebbsfleet351511950:401056
    6Maidenhead341671149:311855
    7Maidstone3615101151:351655
    8Hemel Hempstead341671136:36055
    9Weston-super-Mare321661046:331354
    10Chesham341581141:35653
    11Chelmsford321651145:41453
    12Horsham FC341213944:36849
    13Dag & Red3513101245:41449
    14AFC Totton331451443:55-1247
    15Slough351371552:55-346
    16Dover3511101449:53-443
    17Tonbridge3510111449:53-441
    18Salisbury361091733:50-1739
    19Hampton & Richmond369101742:57-1537
    20Farnborough348101646:70-2434
    21Bath327111431:43-1232
    22Eastbourne Boro36872146:67-2131
    23Enfield Town347101741:62-2131
    24Chippenham36782137:65-2829

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation