Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Leahy T. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Sandat H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 68', 2 - 2, Thompson J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hornchurch
54.7% | Draw
24.5% | Tonbridge Angels
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.75) |
3.77 ↓
(3.82) |
4.42 ↑
(4.09) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hornchurch is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Tonbridge Angels?
Hornchurch has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tonbridge Angels won against Hornchurch?
Tonbridge Angels has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels were as follows:
08.11.2025
Tonbridge Angels
-
Hornchurch
0:1
18.04.2025
Tonbridge Angels
-
Hornchurch
0:1
04.02.2025
Hornchurch
-
Tonbridge Angels
2:2
Latest results of Hornchurch
Latest results of Tonbridge Angels
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dorking | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 62:40 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | Worthing | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 76:42 | 34 | 61 |
| 4 | Torquay | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 | Ebbsfleet | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Maidenhead | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:31 | 18 | 55 |
| 7 | Maidstone | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 51:35 | 16 | 55 |
| 8 | Hemel Hempstead | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 55 |
| 9 | Weston-super-Mare | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 10 | Chesham | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Horsham FC | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Dag & Red | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 45:41 | 4 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Totton | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 43:55 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Slough | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:55 | -3 | 46 |
| 16 | Dover | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 49:53 | -4 | 43 |
| 17 | Tonbridge | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
| 18 | Salisbury | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 39 |
| 19 | Hampton & Richmond | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42:57 | -15 | 37 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 46:70 | -24 | 34 |
| 21 | Bath | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 32 |
| 22 | Eastbourne Boro | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 46:67 | -21 | 31 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 41:62 | -21 | 31 |
| 24 | Chippenham | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 37:65 | -28 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
