Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Leahy T. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Sandat H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 68', 2 - 2, Thompson J. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
54.7%
Draw
24.5%
Tonbridge Angels
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24.3% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 23.9% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.75)
    3.77
    (3.82)
    4.42
    (4.09)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Hornchurch is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Tonbridge Angels - Hornchurch 0:1
    18.04.2025 Tonbridge Angels - Hornchurch 0:1
    04.02.2025 Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels 2:2
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    Latest results of Tonbridge Angels
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)2 : 0
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)4 : 2

    Final
    1Hornchurch (2)Torquay (3)