Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Leahy T. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Sandat H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 68', 2 - 2, Thompson J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hornchurch 54.7% | Draw 24.5% | Tonbridge Angels 20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.75) |
3.77 ↓ (3.82) |
4.42 ↑ (4.09) |
8.5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hornchurch is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Tonbridge Angels?
Hornchurch has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tonbridge Angels won against Hornchurch?
Tonbridge Angels has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels were as follows:
08.11.2025
Tonbridge Angels
-
Hornchurch
0:1
18.04.2025
Tonbridge Angels
-
Hornchurch
0:1
04.02.2025
Hornchurch
-
Tonbridge Angels
2:2
Latest results of Hornchurch
Latest results of Tonbridge Angels
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Hornchurch (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hemel Hempstead (5) | Weston-super-Mare (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Torquay (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Dorking (4) | Maidenhead (7) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hornchurch (2) | Weston-super-Mare (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Torquay (3) | Dorking (4) | 4 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hornchurch (2) | Torquay (3) | |