Result
0:1
20/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 6
- Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/397) | 89% (500/564) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/397) | 89% (500/564) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 30% (11/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 84% (152/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Kolskogen O. ↓, Vestergaard C. ↑,
- 41', Vestergaard C. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
- 43', Tape C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Madsen J. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
- 59', Moro A. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
- 60', Sene F. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 60', Rasmussen V. ↓, Hyltoft Z. ↑,
- 68', Lusavec K. 🟨,
- 69', Bruhn M. 🟨,
- 73', Bruhn M. ↓, Andreasen S. ↑,
- 84', Hansen T. ↓, Bryld A. ↑,
- 85', Sogaard E. 🟨,
- 86', 0 - 1, Kirkegaard K. ⚽, Olsen P. (A),
- 90+1', Dietz F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hobro
23.8% | Draw
27.5% | Horsens
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Hobro - Horsens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↓
(4.14) |
3.42 ↓
(3.65) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hobro - Horsens?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Horsens will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 1.
- Recent performances by Hobro have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Horsens is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Horsens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Horsens is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Horsens?
Hobro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Hobro?
Horsens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hobro - Horsens were as follows:
08.03.2025
Hobro
-
Horsens
1:3
28.09.2024
Horsens
-
Hobro
2:0
01.12.2023
Horsens
-
Hobro
0:1
15.09.2023
Hobro
-
Horsens
0:1
16.01.2023
Horsens
-
Hobro
1:1
Latest results of Horsens
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Kolding IF | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Lyngby | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Hvidovre IF | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | B.93 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Hobro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Koge | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus Fremad | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
