Result
3:3
03/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 12
- Referee: Svendsen F. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (212/281) | 89% (525/588) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (212/281) | 89% (525/588) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 55% (38/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 81% (128/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Saine A. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Hansen T. ⚽,
- 21', Tape C. 🟥,
- 27', 1 - 2, Andreasen S. ⚽, Klitten L. (A),
- 34', 2 - 2, Herdonsson A. ⚽, Moro A. (A),
- 45+3', Sogaard E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Hansen T. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 3, Klitten O. ⚽, Klitten L. (A),
- 69', Hausner S. ↓, Kolskogen O. ↑,
- 69', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 3, Pingel S. ⚽, Madsen J. (A),
- 72', Nielsen M. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
- 73', Andreasen S. ↓, Mortensen F. ↑,
- 74', Mortensen F. 🟨,
- 85', Moro A. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
- 85', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Horsens
58.4% | Draw
24.3% | Hobro
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Horsens - Hobro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.62) |
3.97 ↓
(4.1) |
5.63 ↑
(4.95) |
4.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Horsens - Hobro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Horsens will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4.
- Horsens is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hobro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Horsens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Horsens is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Hobro?
Horsens has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Horsens?
Hobro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Hobro were as follows:
20.08.2025
Hobro
-
Horsens
0:1
08.03.2025
Hobro
-
Horsens
1:3
28.09.2024
Horsens
-
Hobro
2:0
01.12.2023
Horsens
-
Hobro
0:1
15.09.2023
Hobro
-
Horsens
0:1
Latest results of Horsens
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Horsens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | B.93 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:27 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
