Horsens vs Hobro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Horsens - Hobro
Result
3:3
03/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 12
  • Referee: Svendsen F. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.57
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
75% (212/281)89% (525/588)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.57
xG on target (xGOT)
3.262.11
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
75% (212/281)89% (525/588)
Long passes
35% (19/55)55% (38/69)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)81% (128/159)
Crosses
35% (11/31)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.20
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1115
Tackles
50% (2/4)36% (4/11)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
3636
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
2.113.26
Goals prevented
-0.890.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Saine A. , Kirkegaard K. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Hansen T. ,
  • 21', Tape C. 🟥,
  • 27', 1 - 2, Andreasen S. , Klitten L. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 2, Herdonsson A. , Moro A. (A),
  • 45+3', Sogaard E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', Hansen T. , Bruhn M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 3, Klitten O. , Klitten L. (A),
  • 69', Hausner S. , Kolskogen O. ,
  • 69', Milicevic I. , Madsen J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 3, Pingel S. , Madsen J. (A),
  • 72', Nielsen M. , Hauge R. ,
  • 73', Andreasen S. , Mortensen F. ,
  • 74', Mortensen F. 🟨,
  • 85', Moro A. , Lusavec K. ,
  • 85', Kirkegaard K. , Sene F. ,

Chances of winning


Horsens
58.4%
Draw
24.3%
Hobro
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 22.9% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 24% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Horsens - Hobro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.62)
    3.97
    (4.1)
    5.63
    (4.95)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Horsens - Hobro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Horsens will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4.
    • Horsens is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hobro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Horsens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Horsens is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Hobro were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Hobro - Horsens 0:1
    08.03.2025 Hobro - Horsens 1:3
    28.09.2024 Horsens - Hobro 2:0
    01.12.2023 Horsens - Hobro 0:1
    15.09.2023 Hobro - Horsens 0:1
    Latest results of Horsens
    27.09.2025 Hillerød - Horsens 2:1
    20.09.2025 Horsens - Esbjerg 1:0
    13.09.2025 HB Køge - Horsens 1:0
    04.09.2025 Horsens - Viborg 0:1
    31.08.2025 Horsens - B.93 Copenhagen 1:2
    Latest results of Hobro
    28.09.2025 Hobro - Kolding IF 2:2
    24.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Hobro 1:2
    20.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Hobro 3:0
    11.09.2025 Hobro - Lyngby BK 1:4
    29.08.2025 Hvidovre - Hobro 1:1
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hillerod1272320:16423
    2Lyngby1163222:111121
    3Horsens1254313:9419
    4Hvidovre IF1154215:12319
    5Kolding IF1253416:13318
    6Aalborg1252520:15517
    7B.931252515:19-417
    8Aarhus Fremad1244421:16516
    9Esbjerg1251614:17-316
    10Hobro1225513:21-811
    11Koge1231812:23-1110
    12Middelfart1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )