Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
13
Errors
01
2B - double
10
3B - triple
00
Home runs
00
Runs batted in
10
Left on base
35
Base on balls
22
Strikeouts
98
Stolen bases
20
At bat
2630
Batting average
0.0380.1

Chances of winning


Houston Astros
54.9%
Miami Marlins
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Houston Astros - Miami Marlins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.79)

    2.12
    (2.07)
    4.5%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
    • In recent matches, Houston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Miami is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Houston will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 108:59. (average 5.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 4.5:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Astros - Miami Marlins were as follows:
    11.03.2026 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 1:4
    07.03.2026 Houston Astros - Miami Marlins 5:4
    05.03.2026 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 2:0
    25.02.2026 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 1:4
    06.08.2025 Miami Marlins - Houston Astros 6:4
    Latest results of Houston Astros
    Latest results of Miami Marlins
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves302127163:1130.750
    2St.Louis Cardinals281729119:1060.654
    3New York Yankees3119012153:1370.613
    4Pittsburgh Pirates3017013143:1420.567
    5Washington Nationals2814311102:1060.560
    6Baltimore Orioles2913313125:1340.500
    7New York Mets2712213122:990.480
    8Toronto Blue Jays2812214136:1210.462
    9Miami Marlins271131393:1190.458
    10Boston Red Sox2913016141:1820.448
    11Houston Astros2811314111:1040.440
    12Detroit Tigers289613144:1330.409
    13Minnesota Twins3011118143:1600.379
    14Tampa Bay Rays3011118114:1420.379
    15Philadelphia Phillies2910217136:1490.370


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers312029210:1730.690
    2San Francisco Giants291919176:1280.679
    3Texas Rangers3018012178:1350.600
    4Cleveland Guardians3116114186:1680.533
    5Los Angeles Angels3317115151:1860.531
    6San Diego Padres3115115187:1810.500
    7Colorado Rockies3115115202:2090.500
    8Arizona Diamondbacks3115115172:2010.500
    9Chicago White Sox3215116172:1590.484
    10Milwaukee Brewers3014016173:1550.467
    11Athletics3114116198:1880.467
    12Chicago Cubs3114017168:1830.452
    13Cincinnati Reds3114017182:2090.452
    14Seattle Mariners3111119171:2170.367
    15Kansas City Royals319121157:1890.300