HPK U20 vs Ässät U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 14:52, 1 - 0, Nummela T. (G), Lamponen V. (A), Fagerstrom V. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 00:51, 1 - 1, Kamarainen R. (G),
  • 05:07, 2 - 1, Liski T. (G), Kostjukovs K. (A), Ketonen A. (A2)
  • 12:58, 2 - 2, Soikkeli V. (G), Leppanen H. (A), Mannisto A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Koski L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Huhtanen E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Seikkula E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kamarainen R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Lehtonen O. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Eskola L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Kostjukovs K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Juusela A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Eloranta O. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Aijala E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 7, Kostjukovs K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 7, Huhtanen E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 8, Fagerstrom V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 8, Aijala E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 9, Kostjukovs K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 9, Koski L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 10, Lehtonen O. (Penalty Shot),
  • 10, Eklund A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 11, Huttunen R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 11, Kamarainen R. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


HPK U20
45.2%
Draw
21.7%
Ässät U20
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 23.6% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 23.9% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK U20's performance.
  • Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK U20 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • HPK U20 - Ässät U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.36)
    4.14
    (3.91)
    2.71
    (2.46)
    11.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • HPK U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 63:75. (average 3.2:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:43. (average 3.7:3.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HPK U20 - Ässät U20 were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Ässät U20 - HPK U20 1:3
    22.02.2025 Ässät U20 - HPK U20 6:3
    12.12.2024 Ässät U20 - HPK U20 4:3
    17.11.2024 HPK U20 - Ässät U20 3:5
    22.09.2024 HPK U20 - Ässät U20 5:3
    Latest results of HPK U20
    13.12.2025 RoKi U20 - HPK U20 0:3
    12.12.2025 Kärpät U20 - HPK U20 6:3
    03.12.2025 HPK U20 - Jokerit U20 5:6
    29.11.2025 Kiekko-Espoo U20 - HPK U20 5:1
    28.11.2025 HPK U20 - RoKi U20 3:2
    Latest results of Ässät U20
    Finnish SM-sarja U20 Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ilves U20 ✔ 4026545177:9192
    2Pelicans Lahti U20 ✔ 3923529139:8581
    3Assat U2040213313128:9672
    4Jyvaskyla U2041195413121:11371
    5Jukurit U2040184414121:11366
    6Kiekko-Espoo U2039174513126:10264
    7Tappara U2039164613121:11462
    8Hameenlinna U2040172615129:11761
    9TPS U2041173417104:10761
    10Karpat U2040173317113:12660
    11KooKoo U2039128415102:10456
    12KalPa U2040145318149:14955
    13IFK Helsinki U2039152517118:12354
    14Jokerit U2039135417114:12553
    15Vaasan Sport U2039127218111:13152
    16Lukko U203914232091:11449
    17SaiPa U203983622104:17536
    18RoKi U20395242891:17423

          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          SM~sarja U20 (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pelicans Lahti U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)