Result
4:3 OT
27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.81% (3/27) | 13.04% (3/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.96% (20/23) | 85.19% (24/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58.93 | 41.07 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 15:50, Kangas K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:46, 1 - 0, Anttalainen A. (G), Olofsson J. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
- 14:52, 2 - 0, Kim A. (G), Tiivola P. (A),
- 15:38, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 04:43, 2 - 1, Huttunen H. (G), Ketonen A. (A), Alitalo V. (A2)
- 11:31, 3 - 1, Jarvinen J. (G), Olofsson J. (A), Riihinen P. (A2)
- 16:31, 3 - 2, Wright C. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 19:37, 3 - 3, Wright C. (G), Kainulainen H. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 01:19, 4 - 3, Lipiainen V. (G), Maatta R. (A),
Chances of winning
Ässät
58.2% | Draw
20.8% | HPK
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ässät - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.76) |
4.42 ↑
(4.35) |
4.47 ↑
(3.84) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ässät - HPK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ässät (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 5.
- Ässät is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HPK is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ässät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ässät is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:44. (average 2.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 2.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against HPK?
Ässät has won 15 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Ässät?
HPK has won 7 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - HPK were as follows:
03.10.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
2:4
12.09.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
4:1
21.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
5:1
19.03.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
1:2
18.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 45 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 169:110 | 91 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 45 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 108:148 | 60 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
