Result
4:1
12/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.94 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 5.26% (1/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (18/19) | 87.5% (21/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.77 | 49.23 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:46, Martel D. (2 min),
- 06:29, 1 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
- 09:46, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:26, 2 - 0, Maatta R. (G), Fabre D. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:26, Puutio K. (2 min),
- 07:39, 3 - 0, Fabre D. (G), Noiva N. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
- 11:29, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 12:08, 3 - 1, Eronen E. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Kiiskinen J. (A2)
- 12:54, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 13:18, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 16:14, Kukkonen M. (Penalty Shot),
- 17:50, 4 - 1, Riihinen P. (G), Juhola P. (A),
Chances of winning
Ässät
51.4% | Draw
23.2% | HPK
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Ässät - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.99) |
4.01 ↑
(3.58) |
3.72 ↑
(3.4) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Ässät - HPK?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 2 - 40%). HPK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 3.
- Ässät is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- HPK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, HPK has had a series of home games.
- Ässät will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:43. (average 2.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 2.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against HPK?
Ässät has won 13 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Ässät?
HPK has won 7 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - HPK were as follows:
21.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
5:1
19.03.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
1:2
18.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
3:2
08.01.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
2:1
18.12.2024
Ässät
-
HPK
0:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
