Result
5:1
21/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.68 | 2.35 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 19.23% (5/26) | 3.7% (1/27) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.3% (26/27) | 84% (21/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 07:20, Kangas K. (2 min),
- 12:19, 1 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Knihti F. (A), Ylitalo O. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:45, Viljanen V. (2 min),
- 07:31, Puutio K. (2 min),
- 10:22, 2 - 0, Viljanen V. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 12:16, Bengtsson C. (2 min),
- 13:46, 3 - 0, Jarvinen J. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 07:38, 4 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Riekkinen J. (A2)
- 08:11, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 09:12, Talaja R. (2 min),
- 14:51, 4 - 1, Paivarinta S. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
- 15:30, 5 - 1, Maatta R. (G), Jarvinen J. (A),
- 19:06, Hietanen J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ässät
51.8% | Draw
23.6% | HPK
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Ässät - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.89) |
4.03 ↑
(3.9) |
3.86 ↑
(3.64) |
5.4%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Ässät - HPK?
Users Predictions:
Ässät will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- 3rd leg. Assat Pori leads series 2-0.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ässät won 3.
- Recent matches Ässät is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- HPK has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- HPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ässät is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Ässät to win the game is with odds 1.85.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ässät won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 52:45 (average 2.6:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ässät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:23 (average 2.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against HPK?
Ässät has won 12 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Ässät?
HPK has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - HPK were as follows:
19.03.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
1:2
18.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
3:2
08.01.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
2:1
18.12.2024
Ässät
-
HPK
0:3
20.11.2024
HPK
-
Ässät
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
