Result
2:4
03/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.73 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.69% (2/26) | 23.53% (4/17) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.25% (13/16) | 92.31% (24/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 38.3 | 61.7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 00:59, Puutio K. (2 min),
- 05:53, 0 - 1, Noiva N. (G), Tammela J. (A), Juhola P. (A2)
- 06:43, 0 - 2, Jarvinen J. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Nilsson O. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 03:44, Nurmi P. (2 min),
- 04:53, 1 - 2, Paivarinta S. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Kiiskinen J. (A2)
- 10:23, 2 - 2, Kiiskinen J. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 16:30, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 17:47, 2 - 3, Jarvinen J. (G), Puutio K. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
- 18:07, Vesalainen K. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:01, Lindberg F. ↓, Bednar J. ↑,
- 19:46, Wright C. (2 min),
- 19:58, 2 - 4, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A),
Chances of winning
HPK
31.2% | Draw
25.2% | Ässät
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPK's form might have worsened.Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ässät's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ässät, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HPK - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(2.51) |
4.17 ↑
(3.73) |
2.35 ↓
(2.49) |
-4.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 42:54. (average 2.1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 2.4:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Ässät?
HPK has won 7 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against HPK?
Ässät has won 14 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Ässät were as follows:
12.09.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
4:1
21.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
5:1
19.03.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
1:2
18.03.2025
Ässät
-
HPK
3:2
08.01.2025
HPK
-
Ässät
2:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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