Result
4:5 penalties
05/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 3.27 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (4/36) | 12.12% (4/33) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.88% (29/33) | 88.89% (32/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.67 | 48.33 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 05:39, Liikonen V. (2 min),
- 06:42, 0 - 1, Wright C. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 08:23, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
- 08:39, 1 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), Huovila S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
- 12:21, Lassila J. (2 min),
- 12:21, Wright C. (2 min),
- 12:21, Wright C. (2 min),
- 16:55, Kiiskinen J. (2 min),
- 17:15, 2 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 10:54, 2 - 2, Jokirinne V. (G), Wright C. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)
- 13:12, 3 - 2, Lassila J. (G), Ojantakanen V. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 14:40, 3 - 3, Jokirinne V. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Hakulinen A. (A2)
- 16:36, 3 - 4, Hakulinen A. (Penalty Shot),
- 19:50, Vidgren A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:55, 4 - 4, Vatanen S. (G), Lassila J. (A), Peltola E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 2)
- 1, Hakulinen A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Paivarinta S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Vatanen S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Caron T. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
JYP
45.2% | Draw
24.6% | HPK
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
JYP - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.87) |
3.78 ↓
(3.84) |
3.06 ↓
(3.63) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for JYP - HPK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- JYP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- JYP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 46:62. (average 2.3:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 2.1:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against HPK?
JYP has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against JYP?
HPK has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - HPK were as follows:
30.12.2025
HPK
-
JYP
2:3
19.12.2025
HPK
-
JYP
1:4
12.12.2025
JYP
-
HPK
3:4
21.02.2025
HPK
-
JYP
3:0
12.02.2025
JYP
-
HPK
2:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
