HPK vs JYP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga HPK - JYP
Result
3:0
21/02/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.63
Shots on Goal
2516
Shots off Goal
59
Shooting PCT
12% (3/25)0% (0/16)
Blocked Shots
54
Goalkeeper Saves
1622
Saves PCT
100% (16/16)91.67% (22/24)
Penalties
14
PIM
28
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (4/4)
Faceoffs Won
2223
Faceoffs %
48.8951.11
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 07:17, Huttunen H. (2 min),
  • 13:33, Pulkkinen J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:36, Schnarr N. (2 min),
  • 09:36, 1 - 0, Caron T. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
  • 15:50, 2 - 0, Noel D. (G), Sailio J. (A), Ravinskis A. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:39, Lassila J. (2 min),
  • 16:51, 3 - 0, Rautiainen T. (G), Tuulola E. (A), Korhonen O. (A2)
  • 19:23, Torgersson D. (2 min),

Chances of winning


HPK
42.7%
Draw
23.7%
JYP
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 22% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JYP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • HPK - JYP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.02)
    3.95
    (4.03)
    2.68
    (3.12)
    8.7%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches HPK won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • HPK will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches HPK won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 66:49 (average 3.3:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams HPK won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 36:24 (average 3.6:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - JYP were as follows:
    12.02.2025 JYP - HPK 2:1
    11.01.2025 HPK - JYP 3:2
    28.09.2024 JYP - HPK 2:1
    02.03.2024 HPK - JYP 4:2
    28.12.2023 JYP - HPK 3:4
    Latest results of HPK
    19.02.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:5
    15.02.2025 KooKoo - HPK 6:3
    14.02.2025 HPK - Ilves 2:3
    12.02.2025 JYP - HPK 2:1
    01.02.2025 HPK - Pelicans 4:1
    Latest results of JYP
    19.02.2025 TPS - JYP 6:3
    15.02.2025 SaiPa - JYP 6:3
    14.02.2025 JYP - Pelicans 5:4
    12.02.2025 JYP - HPK 2:1
    01.02.2025 KalPa - JYP 8:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat12900341:2427
    2JYP13810449:3726
    3SaiPa14622445:3724
    4Lukko14710640:3623
    5Kiekko-Espoo14613440:3823
    6Tappara13701542:3222
    7KooKoo14620648:4622
    8Jukurit14610734:4020
    9Karpat14601750:4719
    10TPS Turku13423432:3219
    11KalPa12431435:3719
    12Hameenlinna13422534:3918
    13Pelicans13323524:3416
    14IFK Helsinki13411728:4315
    15Vaasan Sport14402835:4214
    16Ilves14321835:4814

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )