Result
2:3 OT
30/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 2.10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 15.79% (3/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84.21% (16/19) | 92% (23/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 34.21 | 65.79 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 01:07, True A. (2 min),
- 06:04, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:55, True A. (2 min),
- 18:09, 1 - 0, Wright C. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 00:35, Wright C. (2 min),
- 02:10, 1 - 1, Tukiainen L. (G), Lassila J. (A), Nieminen V. (A2)
- 04:52, 2 - 1, Paivarinta S. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 19:24, 2 - 2, Ojantakanen V. (G), Torgersson D. (A), True A. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:20, Kiiskinen J. (Penalty Shot),
- 02:42, 2 - 3, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HPK - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.18) |
4.02 ↓
(4.19) |
1.94 ↓
(1.98) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HPK - JYP?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). JYP will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
- HPK is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- JYP is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- JYP might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 63:45. (average 3.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 3.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against JYP?
HPK has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against HPK?
JYP has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - JYP were as follows:
19.12.2025
HPK
-
JYP
1:4
12.12.2025
JYP
-
HPK
3:4
21.02.2025
HPK
-
JYP
3:0
12.02.2025
JYP
-
HPK
2:1
11.01.2025
HPK
-
JYP
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
