HPK vs Vaasan Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pohjantahti-Areena (Hämeenlinna).

Liiga
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Sweden	TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	3.03
Shots on Goal
22	29
Shots off target
10	12
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)	3.45% (1/29)
Blocked Shots
5	12
Goalkeeper Saves
28	18
Saves PCT
96.55% (28/29)	85.71% (18/21)
Penalties
2	1
PIM
4	2
Power-play Goals
0	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)	0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)	100% (1/1)
Faceoffs Won
29	31
Faceoffs %
48.33	51.67
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
11:33, 1 - 0, Kiiskinen J. (G), Andzans A. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)
13:06, Wright C. (2 min),
19:45, 2 - 0, Jokirinne V. (G), Kiiskinen J. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:27, 2 - 1, Hakkila H. (G), Granath P. (A), Hunt B. (A2)
10:08, Andzans A. (2 min),
10:54, Hunt B. (2 min),
12:06, 3 - 1, Nikkila P. (G), Kainulainen H. (A),
17:03, 4 - 1, Antonen J. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Eronen E. (A2)

Chances of winning

HPK
46%

Draw
23%

Vaasan Sport
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

22.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21.5%

33.2%

HPK - Vaasan Sport Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)	4.09 ↓ (4.27)	3.03 ↑ (2.77)	6.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

What is the prediction for HPK - Vaasan Sport?

Users Predictions: HPK will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HPK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
HPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
HPK could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 56:45. (average 2.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 2.9:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Vaasan Sport?

HPK has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against HPK?

Vaasan Sport has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Vaasan Sport were as follows:

11.10.2025 Vaasan Sport - HPK 4:5

13.09.2025 HPK - Vaasan Sport 4:1

01.03.2025 HPK - Vaasan Sport 3:2

29.01.2025 Vaasan Sport - HPK 3:2

02.11.2024 Vaasan Sport - HPK 3:2

Latest results of HPK

01.11.2025 HPK - Pelicans 2:1 ✺

31.10.2025 Pelicans - HPK 5:2 ✺

29.10.2025 TPS - HPK 1:0 ✺

25.10.2025 HPK - KooKoo 4:5 ✺

24.10.2025 KooKoo - HPK 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Vaasan Sport

12.11.2025 Vaasan Sport - Tappara 1:7 ✺

01.11.2025 Vaasan Sport - Lukko 2:1 ✺

31.10.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 3:2 ✺

22.10.2025 TPS - Vaasan Sport 3:2 ✺

18.10.2025 JYP - Vaasan Sport 5:4 ✺

Finnish SM-liiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Tappara	45	28	2	3	12	169:110	91
2	SaiPa	45	22	4	6	13	151:128	80
3	JYP	42	20	8	3	11	147:121	79
4	Lukko	44	21	5	3	15	138:118	76
5	KooKoo	42	20	7	1	14	150:108	75
6	Ilves	44	19	7	4	14	139:116	75
7	KalPa	43	20	5	4	14	129:128	74
8	Assat	44	19	6	3	16	124:117	72
9	IFK Helsinki	45	16	4	4	21	108:148	60
10	Kiekko-Espoo	45	15	3	7	20	112:133	58
11	TPS Turku	45	12	7	8	18	107:123	58
12	Pelicans	42	12	7	6	17	86:107	56
13	Jukurit	42	14	3	6	19	100:114	54
14	Hameenlinna	44	12	5	7	20	104:124	53
15	Karpat	44	12	5	5	22	133:147	51
16	Vaasan Sport	44	9	1	9	25	93:148	38

Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)