Result
0:4
17/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 5.18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 42 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/15) | 9.52% (4/42) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.48% (38/42) | 100% (15/15) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 44.83 | 55.17 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 03:52, Caron T. (Penalty Shot),
- 07:53, 0 - 1, Huttunen H. (G), Kopiloff O. (A), Hakulinen A. (A2)
- 17:05, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 16:45, Levanen E. (2 min),
- 18:10, 0 - 2, Kiiskinen J. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:27, 0 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Paivarinta S. (A),
- 02:51, Ekman T. (Penalty Shot),
- 09:20, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
- 18:16, 0 - 4, Wright C. (G), Hakulinen A. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
17.2% | Draw
18.8% | HPK
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vaasan Sport - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.45 ↑
(4.55) |
4.91 ↑
(4.16) |
1.46 ↓
(1.64) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.
- Vaasa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, HPK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, HPK is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 40:59. (average 2:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.3:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against HPK?
Vaasan Sport has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Vaasan Sport?
HPK has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - HPK were as follows:
13.11.2025
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
11.10.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
4:5
13.09.2025
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
01.03.2025
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
29.01.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
3:2
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
