Result
4:5 OT
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.08 | 1.76 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 42 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.52% (4/42) | 33.33% (5/15) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 38 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (10/15) | 90.48% (38/42) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 62.5 | 37.5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 2)
- 06:43, 0 - 1, Vesalainen K. (G), Eronen E. (A), Andzans A. (A2)
- 08:16, 1 - 1, Sundstrom J. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Stalberg S. (A2)
- 11:38, 2 - 1, Sundstrom J. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Stalberg S. (A2)
- 17:07, 3 - 1, Harma M. (G), Hunt B. (A), Tiihonen M. (A2)
- 18:25, 3 - 2, Kainulainen H. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 19:14, Eronen E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 08:20, 3 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Wright C. (A), Andzans A. (A2)
- 11:48, 3 - 4, Kiiskinen J. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 17:08, Johnsson T. (2 min),
- 17:08, Kangas K. (2 min),
- 17:08, Kangas K. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 16:38, 4 - 4, Granath P. (G), Claesson L. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:42, 4 - 5, Kiiskinen J. (G), Eronen E. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
44.9% | Draw
24% | HPK
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Vaasan Sport - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.08) |
4.06 ↑
(3.99) |
3.23 ↑
(2.97) |
2.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Vaasan Sport - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.
- Vaasa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HPK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Vaasa has had a series of away games.
- Vaasa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:54. (average 2.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 2.7:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against HPK?
Vaasan Sport has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Vaasan Sport?
HPK has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - HPK were as follows:
13.09.2025
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
01.03.2025
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
29.01.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
3:2
02.11.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
3:2
13.09.2024
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
