Result
4:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.92 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 18.18% (4/22) | 5.88% (1/17) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (16/17) | 85.71% (18/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.33 | 51.67 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 02:38, 1 - 0, Andzans A. (G), Kopiloff O. (A), Sertti L. (A2)
- 03:47, 2 - 0, Rautiainen T. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
- 12:38, Hakkila H. (2 min),
- 15:19, Tiihonen M. (2 min),
- 18:15, 2 - 1, Piipponen S. (G), Stalberg S. (A), Sundstrom J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:22, (2 min),
- 07:49, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:03, Svoboda M. ↓, Harkonen M. ↑,
- 06:41, Eronen E. (2 min),
- 14:45, 3 - 1, Rautiainen T. (G), Vesalainen K. (A),
- 20', 4 - 1, Kainulainen H. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK
57.7% | Draw
21.6% | Vaasan Sport
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK's performance.Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaasan Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaasan Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HPK - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.26) |
5.13 ↑
(4.05) |
5.77 ↑
(2.69) |
-7.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for HPK - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vaasa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 2.
- HPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vaasa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, HPK has had a series of home games.
- HPK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:45. (average 2.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Vaasan Sport?
HPK has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against HPK?
Vaasan Sport has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
01.03.2025
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
29.01.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
3:2
02.11.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
3:2
13.09.2024
HPK
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
01.03.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
HPK
4:3
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
