HSG Graz vs Bärnbach Köflach – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Handball Austrian NLA Handball HSG Graz - Bärnbach Köflach
Result
28:25
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HLA - Relegation Group - Round 4

Chances of winning


HSG Graz
57.3%
Draw
10.5%
Bärnbach Köflach
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 9.3% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 8.8% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HSG Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSG Graz's form might have worsened.
  • Bärnbach Köflach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bärnbach Köflach's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSG Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bärnbach Köflach than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bärnbach Köflach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • HSG Graz - Bärnbach Köflach Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.37)
    8.77
    (9.8)
    2.86
    (3.7)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 3.
    • HSG Graz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bärnbach Köflach has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • HSG Graz could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that HSG Graz will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 603:541. (average 30.2:27.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HSG Graz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 240:212. (average 30:26.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HSG Graz - Bärnbach Köflach were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz 26:25
    08.03.2025 Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz 27:32
    25.10.2024 HSG Graz - Bärnbach Köflach 35:28
    17.05.2024 HSG Graz - Bärnbach Köflach 29:24
    27.04.2024 Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz 34:26
    Latest results of HSG Graz
    03.05.2025 West Wien - HSG Graz 22:26
    30.04.2025 HSG Graz - Ferlach 30:28
    26.04.2025 Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz 26:25
    12.04.2025 HSG Graz - Ferlach 32:29
    05.04.2025 West Wien - HSG Graz 28:31
    Latest results of Bärnbach Köflach
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Alpla Hard (1)Bregenz (7)2 : 0
    2Aon Fivers (4)Handball Tirol (5)2 : 1
    3Krems (2)Voslauer (8)2 : 0
    4Fuchse (3)Linz (6)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alpla Hard (1)Aon Fivers (4)2 : 0
    2Krems (2)Linz (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alpla Hard (1)Krems (2)0 : 2