HSG Graz vs Ferlach – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
32:29
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • HLA - Round 17

Chances of winning


HSG Graz
54.4%
Draw
11%
Ferlach
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 10% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 9% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HSG Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HSG Graz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferlach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • HSG Graz - Ferlach Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.72)
    8.27
    (9.12)
    2.63
    (2.43)
    10%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 2.
    • HSG Graz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ferlach has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • HSG Graz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • HSG Graz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 549:570. (average 27.5:28.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HSG Graz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 292:277. (average 29.2:27.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HSG Graz - Ferlach were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Ferlach - HSG Graz 27:27
    24.05.2025 Ferlach - HSG Graz 37:25
    30.04.2025 HSG Graz - Ferlach 30:28
    12.04.2025 HSG Graz - Ferlach 32:29
    23.11.2024 Ferlach - HSG Graz 27:22
    Latest results of HSG Graz
    03.03.2026 Alpla Hard - HSG Graz 26:26
    28.02.2026 HSG Graz - Füchse 30:36
    21.02.2026 Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz 30:29
    18.02.2026 HSG Graz - Tirol 37:39
    13.02.2026 HSG Graz - Linz 32:32
    Latest results of Ferlach
    04.03.2026 Ferlach - Tirol 29:31
    28.02.2026 Krems - Ferlach 33:23
    21.02.2026 Hollabrunn - Ferlach 30:24
    14.02.2026 Ferlach - Alpla Hard 33:28
    07.02.2026 Füchse - Ferlach 31:33
    Austrian NLA Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Linz181026553:51322
    2Voslauer18936538:50321
    3Alpla Hard18936567:54521
    4Ferlach181017529:52521
    5Krems18837525:52419
    6Handball Tirol18918567:57819
    7Aon Fivers18819566:56817
    8Fuchse18819538:55117
    9Barnbach/K18738475:48917
    10Bregenz18639549:57515
    11HSG Graz18549545:55014
    12Hollabrunn185310550:58113

          Promotion ~ HLA (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          HLA (Relegation Group: )