Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 89', 1 - 0, Pastore M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ligorna 62.4% | Draw 23% | Derthona 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ligorna - Derthona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↓ (1.47) |
3.93 ↑ (3.93) |
6.21 ↑ (6.03) |
10.6% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 4.
- Ligorna is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derthona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ligorna is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Ligorna will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ligorna won against Derthona?
Ligorna has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona won against Ligorna?
Derthona has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ligorna - Derthona were as follows:
24.09.2025
Derthona
-
Ligorna
0:2
09.03.2025
Ligorna
-
Derthona
2:1
03.11.2024
Derthona
-
Ligorna
0:3
05.05.2024
Derthona
-
Ligorna
0:0
20.12.2023
Ligorna
-
Derthona
3:1
Latest results of Ligorna
Latest results of Derthona
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation