HSV Hoek vs Excelsior Maassluis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Tweede Divisie HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis
Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, de Poorter R. ,
  • 36', Tureaij C. 🟨,
  • 37', Hamd Y. 🟨,
  • 38', den Engelsman W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, Tavares Q. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Sula D. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Sula D. ,

Chances of winning


HSV Hoek
55.9%
Draw
22.7%
Excelsior Maassluis
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 25.8% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.2% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HSV Hoek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HSV Hoek's performance.
  • Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior Maassluis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HSV Hoek that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior Maassluis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (2.12)
    4.25
    (3.55)
    4.83
    (2.95)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
    • Hoek is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Excelsior Maassluis has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Excelsior Maassluis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hoek has had a series of home games.
    • Hoek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of HSV Hoek
    23.09.2025 HSV Hoek - Blauw Geel 38 1:0
    20.09.2025 RKAV Volendam - HSV Hoek 2:1
    13.09.2025 HSV Hoek - ACV Abandoned
    03.09.2025 HSV Hoek - Rijnvogels 6:4
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Dutch Tweede Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hardenberg870118:51321
    2Quick Boys853020:51518
    3Hoek751113:5816
    4Jong Almere City850322:13915
    5Jong Sparta Rotterdam742118:9914
    6Kozakken Boys842212:13-114
    7AFC841310:10013
    8Spakenburg832319:17211
    9HFC83238:9-111
    10Rijnsburgse Boys831414:15-110
    11De Treffers83146:7-110
    12Katwijk83148:10-210
    13GVVV83149:15-610
    14IJsselmeervogels830514:16-29
    15Barendrecht830514:20-69
    16RKAV Volendam72057:13-66
    17Excelsior Maassluis81167:17-104
    18ACV Assen70072:22-200

          Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
          Relegation