Excelsior Maassluis vs HSV Hoek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
68
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
109
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
24
Corner kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ,
  • 13', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Plank D. ,
  • 33', de Nooijer Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 3 - 0, Madi A. , Verbont Y. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Bouihrouchane H. , Sula D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martens G. , Jalloh A. ,
  • 55', Bouihrouchane H. , Lion J. ,
  • 55', Aelterman N. , Hage S. ,
  • 63', Plank D. , Wennekers B. ,
  • 63', Hamd Y. , Nagtegaal N. ,
  • 68', Siereveld G. 🟨,
  • 74', Van Hauter R. , Lijbers T. ,
  • 74', Siereveld G. , Steenpoorte M. ,
  • 77', Tavares Q. 🟨,
  • 77', Verbont Y. , Slagveer D. ,
  • 80', Lopes Varela D. , Heuvelman D. ,
  • 90+6', de Poorter R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Maassluis
33.8%
Draw
27.4%
HSV Hoek
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 26% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 25% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.81)
    3.35
    (3.58)
    2.37
    (2.28)
    9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 1).
    • In recent matches, Excelsior Maassluis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoek is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek were as follows:
    27.09.2025 HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis 3:1
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Latest results of HSV Hoek
    21.02.2026 HSV Hoek - RKAV Volendam 1:0
    07.02.2026 ACV - HSV Hoek 0:1
    24.01.2026 HSV Hoek - Spakenburg 1:1
    17.01.2026 Koninklijke HFC - HSV Hoek 2:1
    Dutch Tweede Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hoek25154640:251549
    2Quick Boys26138551:282346
    3Rijnsburgse Boys26136756:421445
    4Spakenburg26127758:481043
    5Hardenberg26134943:331043
    6De Treffers25126741:291242
    7Barendrecht261141150:61-1137
    8RKAV Volendam251121242:43-135
    9Jong Almere City261051156:47935
    10AFC2698933:38-535
    11GVVV261051139:47-835
    12Katwijk2597938:40-234
    13Jong Sparta Rotterdam2689952:56-433
    14HFC261031326:34-833
    15Kozakken Boys26961131:40-933
    16Excelsior Maassluis26761333:43-1027
    17IJsselmeervogels26621835:51-1620
    18ACV Assen26481435:54-1920

          Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
          Relegation