Excelsior Maassluis vs HSV Hoek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tweede Divisie - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
68
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
109
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
24
Corner kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ,
  • 13', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Plank D. ,
  • 33', de Nooijer Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 3 - 0, Madi A. , Verbont Y. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Bouihrouchane H. , Sula D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martens G. , Jalloh A. ,
  • 55', Bouihrouchane H. , Lion J. ,
  • 55', Aelterman N. , Hage S. ,
  • 63', Plank D. , Wennekers B. ,
  • 63', Hamd Y. , Nagtegaal N. ,
  • 68', Siereveld G. 🟨,
  • 74', Van Hauter R. , Lijbers T. ,
  • 74', Siereveld G. , Steenpoorte M. ,
  • 77', Tavares Q. 🟨,
  • 77', Verbont Y. , Slagveer D. ,
  • 80', Lopes Varela D. , Heuvelman D. ,
  • 90+6', de Poorter R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Excelsior Maassluis
33.8%
Draw
27.4%
HSV Hoek
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 26% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 25% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.81)
    3.35
    (3.58)
    2.37
    (2.28)
    9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 1).
    • In recent matches, Excelsior Maassluis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoek is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek were as follows:
    27.09.2025 HSV Hoek - Excelsior Maassluis 3:1
    Latest results of Excelsior Maassluis
    Latest results of HSV Hoek
    21.02.2026 HSV Hoek - RKAV Volendam 1:0
    07.02.2026 ACV - HSV Hoek 0:1
    24.01.2026 HSV Hoek - Spakenburg 1:1
    17.01.2026 Koninklijke HFC - HSV Hoek 2:1
    Dutch Tweede Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Quick Boys31179563:313259
    2Hoek31185854:312359
    3De Treffers31177758:342458
    4Hardenberg311641152:371552
    5Spakenburg31157968:561252
    6Rijnsburgse Boys31148965:511450
    7Katwijk311371151:52-146
    8Jong Sparta Rotterdam311291067:61645
    9Kozakken Boys311271240:49-943
    10Jong Almere City311251461:56541
    11AFC311181240:48-841
    12GVVV311251446:58-1241
    13Barendrecht311241555:75-2040
    14RKAV Volendam311231643:50-739
    15HFC311131730:42-1236
    16Excelsior Maassluis31771735:53-1828
    17IJsselmeervogels31832040:59-1927
    18ACV Assen31591742:67-2524

          Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
          Relegation