Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (156/265) | 74% (371/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (156/265) | 74% (371/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (31/80) | 55% (39/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 62% (122/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 44% (16/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 64 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Altamirano L. ⚽, Ortega O. (A),
- 26', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Martinez J. A. (A),
- 45', Avalos G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Labrin C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sepulveda C. ↓, Garrido B. ↑,
- 46', Ortega O. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez R. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez P. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 49', Vargas N. 🟨,
- 62', Avalos G. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
- 69', Garrido B. 🟨,
- 70', Altamirano L. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
- 70', Gutierrez M. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
- 74', Graciani G. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 76', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 81', Martinez J. A. ↓, Carcamo J. ↑,
- 82', Garrido B. 🟨,
- 82', Mateos F. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Huachipato
39.7% | Draw
28.5% | Ñublense
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Huachipato - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.18) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
2.91 ↓
(3.32) |
8.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Huachipato - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huachipato: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ñublense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Huachipato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Ñublense?
Huachipato has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Huachipato?
Ñublense has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Huachipato - Ñublense were as follows:
13.07.2025
Ñublense
-
Huachipato
2:2
31.05.2025
Huachipato
-
Ñublense
0:1
10.11.2024
Huachipato
-
Ñublense
1:0
20.06.2024
Ñublense
-
Huachipato
3:0
03.12.2023
Ñublense
-
Huachipato
0:1
Latest results of Huachipato
Latest results of Ñublense
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Limache | La Serena | |
| 2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | |
