Result
0:1
24/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 28
- Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (408/484) | 75% (259/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (408/484) | 75% (259/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (37/58) | 47% (31/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (125/152) | 46% (36/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 63% (5/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Sanchez P. 🟨,
- 36', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 38', Martinez C. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sosa G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sanchez P. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 47', Silva S. 🟨,
- 54', Avalos G. 🟨,
- 58', Bosso Torres O. ↓, Valencia Cisternas S. A. ↑,
- 64', Silva S. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 64', Martinez J. A. ↓, Sepulveda C. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Villanueva C. ⚽, Altamirano L. (A),
- 70', Sosa G. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 77', Vargas N. 🟨,
- 80', Cerezo B. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 80', Saavedra D. ↓, Mateos F. ↑,
- 81', Gutierrez M. ↓, Gazzolo B. ↑,
- 90', Mateos F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Martinez C. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
- 90+3', Altamirano L. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
41.7% | Draw
26.3% | Huachipato
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huachipato's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Ñublense - Huachipato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.02) |
3.59 ↑
(3.45) |
3 ↓
(3.5) |
5.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Huachipato?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
- Ñublense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Huachipato is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Ñublense has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Huachipato has had a series of home games.
- Ñublense might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Huachipato?
Ñublense has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Ñublense?
Huachipato has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Huachipato were as follows:
16.07.2025
Huachipato
-
Ñublense
2:1
13.07.2025
Ñublense
-
Huachipato
2:2
31.05.2025
Huachipato
-
Ñublense
0:1
10.11.2024
Huachipato
-
Ñublense
1:0
20.06.2024
Ñublense
-
Huachipato
3:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Nublense | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Huachipato | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | O'Higgins | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | La Serena | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Palestino | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 | U. De Concepcion | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
