Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/03/2026 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
109
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
68%68%
1st serve points won
74% (43/58)79% (44/56)
2nd serve points won
48% (13/27)58% (15/26)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)67% (2/3)
1st return points won
21% (12/56)26% (15/58)
2nd return points won
42% (11/26)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)33% (1/3)
Winners
2524
Unforced errors
3326
Net points won
58% (7/12)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
66% (56/85)72% (59/82)
Return Points Won
28% (23/82)34% (29/85)
Total Points Won
47% (79/167)53% (88/167)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
92% (11/12)92% (11/12)
Return games won
8% (1/12)8% (1/12)
Total games won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Hubert Hurkacz
67.3%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.34)

    2.91
    (3.11)
    4.4%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Aleksandar Kovacevic?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Kovacevic (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kovacevic (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 71. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 72.
    • Hurkacz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kovacevic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hurkacz is seen as the favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)
    15Korda S.Comesana F.
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.
    2TBD #3Rinderknech A. (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)TBD #6
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)
    5Bublik A. (10)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Darderi L. (20)
    7Norrie C. (27)TBD #14
    8TBD #15De Minaur A. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)
    11Cerundolo F. (19)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Draper J. (14)
    13Medvedev D. (11)TBD #26
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)
    15Humbert U. (32)TBD #30
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.
    18Prizmic D.Fils A. (30)
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2