Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 83% (43/52) | 60% (39/65) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 50% (21/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/9 | 7/12 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 17% (9/52) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 54% (21/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/12 | 3/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 77% (23/30) | 55% (6/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (61/91) | 56% (60/107) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (47/107) | 33% (30/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (108/198) | 45% (90/198) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 45% (14/31) |
Chances of winning
Hubert Hurkacz 32.6% | Luciano Darderi 67.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.89 ↑ (2.87) |
|
1.43 ↑ (1.38) |
4.7% (7.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Darderi will win (votes: 35 - 94.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 87.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 72. Darderi is ranked ATP: 19.
- Hurkacz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Darderi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hurkacz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubert Hurkacz won against Luciano Darderi?
Hubert Hurkacz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Hubert Hurkacz?
Luciano Darderi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
22.03.2025
Hubert Hurkacz
-
Luciano Darderi
Canceled
Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
Latest results of Luciano Darderi
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal