Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
116
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
57%61%
1st serve points won
83% (43/52)60% (39/65)
2nd serve points won
46% (18/39)50% (21/42)
Break Points Saved
6/97/12
1st return points won
40% (26/65)17% (9/52)
2nd return points won
50% (21/42)54% (21/39)
Break Points Converted
5/123/9
Winners
3931
Unforced errors
2635
Net points won
77% (23/30)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
67% (61/91)56% (60/107)
Return Points Won
44% (47/107)33% (30/91)
Total Points Won
55% (108/198)45% (90/198)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (12/15)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)20% (3/15)
Total games won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Hubert Hurkacz
32.6%
Luciano Darderi
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 68%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.87)

    1.43
    (1.38)
    4.7%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Darderi will win (votes: 35 - 94.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 87.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luciano Darderi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 72. Darderi is ranked ATP: 19.
    • Hurkacz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Darderi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hurkacz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi Canceled
    Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bublik A. (8)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7De Minaur A. (5)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Sinner J. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2