Result
0:2
12/03/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 66% (21/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 59% (10/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/12 | 0/2 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 50% (20/40) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 57% (13/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/2 | 5/12 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 64% (30/47) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 51% (31/61) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (47/108) | 56% (61/108) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Hubert Hurkacz 61% | Mattia Bellucci 39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubert Hurkacz's form might have worsened.Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↑ (1.33) |
|
2.41 ↓ (3.05) |
6.8% (8%) | |
What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Games - Bellucci (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hubert Hurkacz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bellucci (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 71. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94.
- Hurkacz is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bellucci has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hurkacz is a strong favorite.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Hubert Hurkacz won against Mattia Bellucci?
Hubert Hurkacz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Hubert Hurkacz?
Mattia Bellucci has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | McDonald M. (Alt) | Landaluce M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tseng C. H. | Andrade A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (WC) | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maestrelli F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. (Q) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Barrios Vera T. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (7) | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Cid Subervi R. (WC) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. | Wong C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Dzumhur D. (3) | |
| 13 | Navone M. (6) | Hardt N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Mejia N. (Q) | Mochizuki S. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Goffin D. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Royer V. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Andrade A. | Walton A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (4) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Collignon R. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Dzumhur D. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Navone M. (6) | Mochizuki S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Royer V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. (1) | Walton A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Bellucci M. | Collignon R. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blockx A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. (6) | Royer V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Walton A. (8) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blockx A. | Navone M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bellucci M. | Navone M. (6) | |