Result
5:3
15/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 30
- Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 2.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/449) | 70% (217/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.18 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/449) | 70% (217/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 45% (36/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (101/140) | 54% (50/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 4.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 27', Murillo D. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Sielva O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 1 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 45+1', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Nino A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+7', Munoz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 53', Agbekpornu M. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽,
- 66', Cantero A. ↓, Ojeda D. ↑,
- 66', Portillo F. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 69', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
- 74', Munoz J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
- 74', Rafita ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 75', Escobar J. ↓, Enrich S. ↑,
- 75', Laquintana I. ↓, Aghama E. ↑,
- 82', Puga C. 🟨,
- 85', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 85', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Pulido J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Chupe ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 3, Carrillo A. ⚽, Sielva O. (A),
- 90+9', 5 - 3, Chupe ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
Chances of winning
Málaga
56.6% | Draw
25.6% | Huesca
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Málaga - Huesca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.72) |
3.66 ↑
(3.64) |
5.31 ↑
(4.93) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Málaga - Huesca?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Málaga (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Málaga will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
- Málaga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Huesca is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D.
(Knee Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Galilea E.
(Injury)
Garcia V.
(Red Card)
Juanpe
(Yellow Cards)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Huesca: Aznar D.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandez J.
(Thigh Injury)
Luna D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Huesca: Alvarez J.
(Injury)
Carrillo A.
(Injury)
Rodriguez E.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Huesca?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huesca won against Málaga?
Huesca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Huesca were as follows:
13.09.2025
Huesca
-
Málaga
1:0
14.04.2025
Huesca
-
Málaga
1:0
14.09.2024
Málaga
-
Huesca
1:0
01.05.2023
Málaga
-
Huesca
0:0
11.09.2022
Huesca
-
Málaga
1:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 3 | Almeria | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 74:56 | 18 | 67 |
| 4 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 49:31 | 18 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40:60 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
