Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur
Result
1:2
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
56%77%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (27/45)73% (43/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (18/36)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
29% (17/59)47% (21/45)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)50% (18/36)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)42% (5/12)
Winners
2124
Unforced Errors
3833
Net Points Won
44% (7/16)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
56% (45/80)69% (53/77)
Return Points Won
31% (24/77)44% (35/80)
Total Points Won
44% (69/157)56% (88/157)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
38% (10/26)62% (16/26)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
44.9%
Damir Dzumhur
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.91)

    1.72
    (1.76)
    5.7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur?
  • Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.91%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Damir Dzumhur will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 91. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 70.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    08.07.2025 Radu Albot - Hugo Gaston 2:1
    01.07.2025 Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik 1:3
    28.05.2025 Ben Shelton - Hugo Gaston Shelton B. walkover
    26.05.2025 Hugo Gaston - Ugo Blanchet 3:2
    Latest results of Damir Dzumhur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1