Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Glinka D. retired
03/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
67%41%
1st serve points won
84% (27/32)81% (13/16)
2nd serve points won
50% (8/16)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)60% (3/5)
1st return points won
19% (3/16)19% (6/32)
2nd return points won
52% (12/23)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/2)
Winners
912
Unforced errors
1525
Net points won
83% (5/6)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
73% (35/48)62% (24/39)
Return Points Won
38% (15/39)27% (13/48)
Total Points Won
57% (50/87)43% (37/87)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (8/8)71% (5/7)
Return games won
29% (2/7)0% (0/8)
Total games won
67% (10/15)33% (5/15)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
61.6%
Daniil Glinka
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.6)

    2.42
    (2.19)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka?
  • Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hugo Gaston will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 95. Glinka is ranked ATP: 171.
    • Recent performances by Gaston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Glinka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gaston will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Latest results of Daniil Glinka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1