Result
0:2
14/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (22/32) | 79% (30/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (8/38) | 31% (10/32) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 60% (15/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 69% (40/58) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (18/58) | 44% (25/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (50/115) | 57% (65/115) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Hugo Gaston
23.2% | Joao Fonseca
76.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Fonseca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Fonseca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(3.23) |
|
1.22 ↓
(1.3) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
Preview Facts
- Gaston is ranked ATP: 93. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 80.
- Gaston is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Fonseca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fonseca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fonseca is a favorite.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Joao Fonseca?
Hugo Gaston has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Hugo Gaston?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Fearnley J. | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. (WC) | Shevchenko A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Eubanks C. (Alt) | Safiullin R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Hijikata R. | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Vukic A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Rinderknech A. (8) | Opelka R. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kotov P. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Struff J-L. (4) | |
| 13 | Nardi L. (6) | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Kukushkin M. (Q) | Uchiyama Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tu L. (Q) | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Safiullin R. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (3) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hijikata R. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Opelka R. | Gaston H. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Struff J-L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nishikori K. | Kukushkin M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Spizzirri E. | Cobolli F. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | Bublik A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Nishikori K. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Borges N. (1) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fonseca J. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Bublik A. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
