Hugo Gaston vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Antwerp Hugo Gaston - Mariano Navone
Result
2:1
16/10/2024 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Antwerp (Belgium), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
60%60%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (48/67)70% (48/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (22/44)57% (26/46)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
30% (21/69)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (20/46)50% (22/44)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)50% (4/8)
Winners
2734
Unforced Errors
4468
Net Points Won
71% (12/17)66% (21/32)
Max Points In Row
75
Service Points Won
63% (70/111)64% (74/115)
Return Points Won
36% (41/115)37% (41/111)
Total Points Won
49% (111/226)51% (115/226)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
44.2%
Mariano Navone
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hugo Gaston - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.74)

    1.7
    (2.1)
    5%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Navone will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 54%99.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 77. Navone is ranked ATP: 43.
    • Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Navone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Navone will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Bye
    2Koepfer D.Carballes Baena R.0 : 2
    3Vatutin A. (Q)Gaston H.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Navone M. (7)1 : 2
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Bye
    6Collignon R. (WC)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    7Bautista-Agut R.van Assche L. (Q)2 : 0
    8Gasquet R. (WC)Etcheverry T. M. (6)0 : 2
    9Giron M. (8)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Blockx A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Diaz Acosta F.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12ByeBaez S.
    13Lehecka J. (5)Munar J.2 : 0
    14Bailly G. A. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    15Mpetshi Perricard G.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeTsitsipas S. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Carballes Baena R.2 : 1
    2Gaston H.Navone M. (7)2 : 1
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    4Bautista-Agut R.Etcheverry T. M. (6)2 : 0
    5Giron M. (8)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Baez S.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (5)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    8Seyboth Wild T.Tsitsipas S. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Gaston H.1 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (3)Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    3Giron M. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Lehecka J. (5)Tsitsipas S. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    2Giron M. (8)Lehecka J. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bautista-Agut R.Lehecka J. (5)2 : 0