Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
60%55%
1st serve points won
74% (25/34)60% (21/35)
2nd serve points won
57% (13/23)38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)29% (2/7)
1st return points won
40% (14/35)26% (9/34)
2nd return points won
62% (18/29)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)33% (2/6)
Winners
1911
Unforced errors
2826
Net points won
75% (12/16)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
67% (38/57)50% (32/64)
Return Points Won
50% (32/64)33% (19/57)
Total Points Won
58% (70/121)42% (51/121)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
80% (8/10)50% (5/10)
Return games won
50% (5/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Pierre-Hugues Herbert
45.4%
Hugo Gaston
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 65.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pierre-Hugues Herbert's performance.
  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pierre-Hugues Herbert that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.46)

    2.04
    (1.52)
    -7.3%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 62.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Gaston (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hugo Gaston will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gaston (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Herbert is ranked ATP: 182. Gaston is ranked ATP: 95.
    • Herbert is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gaston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gaston could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Herbert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
    05.02.2024 Hugo Gaston - Pierre-Hugues Herbert 2:1
    Latest results of Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)0 : 2
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.0 : 2
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    5Lajal M. (5)Herbert P.0 : 2
    6Poullain L.Droguet T. (3)1 : 2
    7Blanchet U. (6)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (WO.) (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokoli L.Chidekh C.1 : 2
    2Ofner S. (4)Martineau M.2 : 0
    3Herbert P.Droguet T. (3)2 : 1
    4Blanchet U. (6)Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Chidekh C.Ofner S. (4)1 : 2
    2Herbert P.Gaston H. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Herbert P.2 : 0