South Melbourne vs Hume City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian NPL Victoria South Melbourne - Hume City
Result
2:1
27/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPL Victoria - Round 20
South Melbourne - Hume City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
156
Corner Kicks
95
Total shots
197
Shots on target
156
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
95
Goalkeeper Saves
513

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Ren N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 82', 1 - 1, Kirdar B. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Bonada N. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
33.2%
Draw
26.5%
Hume City
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 24.9% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 25.3% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • South Melbourne - Hume City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.55)
    3.5
    (3.6)
    2.3
    (2.25)
    7.8%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.
    • South Melbourne is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hume City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hume City could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Hume City were as follows:
    21.03.2025 Hume City - South Melbourne 1:1
    11.09.2024 Hume City - South Melbourne 2:3
    30.08.2024 South Melbourne - Hume City 1:0
    01.06.2024 Hume City - South Melbourne 0:1
    26.02.2024 South Melbourne - Hume City 1:0
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Latest results of Hume City
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Heidelberg Utd21163247:192851
    2Avondale FC21153355:243148
    3Dandenong Thunder21125445:281741
    4Oakleigh Cannons20122646:281838
    5Preston Lions2195730:28232
    6Hume City2194832:32031
    7Dandenong City2178638:35329
    8Green Gully2185835:33229
    9St Albans21651039:41-223
    10South Melbourne21651025:36-1123
    11Altona Magic21561019:33-1421
    12Melbourne Victory U2121431432:48-1615
    13Port Melbourne Sharks21431420:51-3115
    14Melbourne Knights20411522:49-2713

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

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