Spain vs Hungary, European Championship Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
14:15 penalties
20/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Championship

Chances of winning


Spain
60.4%
Draw
13.2%
Hungary
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 12.7% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 12.6% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Hungary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungary than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Spain - Hungary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.48)
    6.85
    (7.19)
    3.43
    (3.55)
    10.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 25.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Spain - Hungary?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hungary will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 14:12.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Spain is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spain won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 210:216. (average 10.5:10.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spain - Hungary were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Spain - Hungary 15:13
    16.07.2025 Spain - Hungary 10:9
    12.01.2025 Hungary - Spain 9:15
    06.01.2025 Spain - Hungary 11:12
    30.07.2024 Spain - Hungary 10:7
    Latest results of Spain
    18.01.2026 France - Spain 8:14
    16.01.2026 Montenegro - Spain 6:14
    14.01.2026 Netherlands - Spain 7:14
    12.01.2026 Spain - Serbia 11:12
    10.01.2026 Israel - Spain 3:28
    Latest results of Hungary
    18.01.2026 Hungary - Serbia 14:15
    16.01.2026 Hungary - Netherlands 16:11
    14.01.2026 Malta - Hungary 6:21
    12.01.2026 Hungary - Montenegro 13:10
    10.01.2026 France - Hungary 7:15
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SerbiaItaly17 : 13
    2GreeceHungary12 : 15

    Final
    1SerbiaHungary10 : 7

    3rd place
    2ItalyGreece5 : 12