Result
1:3
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Italy | Como TV |
Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
72% (189/264) | 81% (366/451) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 1.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.95 | 2.43 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 13 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
4 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
72% (189/264) | 81% (366/451) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (29/67) | 57% (43/76) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (57/97) | 63% (84/134) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 47% (9/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.22 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (12/21) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 68 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.43 | 0.95 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.57 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽, Caceres M. (A),
- 39', Ferreira M. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Urzi A. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mazzantti W. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
- 54', Bosca J. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 2, Pereyra F. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
- 59', Pinela M. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
- 59', Bosca J. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
- 71', Urzi A. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
- 71', Tomatis B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 75', Guidara T. 🟨,
- 85', Severo A. ↓, Scarone A. ↑,
- 85', Sequeira L. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 85', Miljevic M. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Cabral R. ⚽, Alanis G. (A),
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo 18% | Draw 28.5% | Huracán Buenos Aires 53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Montevideo's form might have worsened.Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.13 ↑ (3.45) |
3.32 ↑ (3.11) |
1.78 ↓ (2.2) |
5.8% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Huracán Buenos Aires will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Racing is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Huracán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Huracán is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Huracán Buenos Aires?
Racing Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huracán Buenos Aires won against Racing Montevideo?
Huracán Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
09.04.2025
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
Racing Montevideo
5:0
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal