Result
1:3
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (189/264) | 81% (366/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (189/264) | 81% (366/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 57% (43/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (57/97) | 63% (84/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 47% (9/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽, Caceres M. (A),
- 39', Ferreira M. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Urzi A. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mazzantti W. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
- 54', Bosca J. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 2, Pereyra F. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
- 59', Pinela M. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
- 59', Bosca J. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
- 71', Urzi A. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
- 71', Tomatis B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 75', Guidara T. 🟨,
- 85', Severo A. ↓, Scarone A. ↑,
- 85', Sequeira L. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 85', Miljevic M. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Cabral R. ⚽, Alanis G. (A),
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
18% | Draw
28.5% | Huracán Buenos Aires
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Montevideo's form might have worsened.Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.13 ↑
(3.45) |
3.32 ↑
(3.11) |
1.78 ↓
(2.2) |
5.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Huracán Buenos Aires will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Racing is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Huracán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Huracán is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Huracán Buenos Aires?
Racing Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huracán Buenos Aires won against Racing Montevideo?
Huracán Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
09.04.2025
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
Racing Montevideo
5:0
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
