Result
18/04/2026 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 10
- Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Chiefs
49.7% | Draw
4.6% | Hurricanes
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Chiefs - Hurricanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.73) |
20.25 ↑
(19.5) |
2.01 ↓
(2.2) |
9.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Chiefs - Hurricanes?
Users Predictions:
Hurricanes will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:25.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 2.
- Chiefs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hurricanes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hurricanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Chiefs will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 460:514. (average 23:25.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 185:175. (average 23.1:21.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Chiefs won against Hurricanes?
Chiefs has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hurricanes won against Chiefs?
Hurricanes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chiefs - Hurricanes were as follows:
03.05.2025
Hurricanes
-
Chiefs
35:17
15.06.2024
Hurricanes
-
Chiefs
19:30
24.05.2024
Chiefs
-
Hurricanes
17:20
13.04.2024
Hurricanes
-
Chiefs
36:23
20.05.2023
Chiefs
-
Hurricanes
23:12
Latest results of Hurricanes
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
