Hwaseong vs Incheon United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 2 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
worldWorldK League TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
168
Fouls
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Park Seung-Ho (Pen),
  • 28', Choi Myung-Hee 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lee Sang-Gi , Kim Seong-Min ,
  • 46', Barrow M. , Kim Bo-Sub ,
  • 59', Demethryus , Jeon S. ,
  • 65', Woo J. , Arthur ,
  • 65', Cho Dong-Jae , Park Chang-Ho ,
  • 73', Park Ho-Min , Shin Jin-Ho ,
  • 76', Gerso , Kim Min-Seog ,
  • 78', Choi Jun-Hyeok 🟨,
  • 80', Kim Byung-Oh , Yoo B. ,
  • 80', Choi Myung-Hee , Ahn Ji-Man ,
  • 90+2', Jung Won-Jin , Delbridge H. ,
  • 90+4', Kim Bo-Sub 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hwaseong
18.6%
Draw
25%
Incheon United
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.4% 23.3% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 21.6% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Hwaseong - Incheon United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.97
    (5.3)
    3.66
    (3.97)
    1.64
    (1.56)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hwaseong - Incheon United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Hwaseong (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Hwaseong (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hwaseong (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Incheon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hwaseong is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Incheon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Incheon is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hwaseong - Incheon United were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Incheon United - Hwaseong 2:0
    05.04.2025 Hwaseong - Incheon United 0:1
    Latest results of Hwaseong
    28.09.2025 Hwaseong - Busan I Park 1:1
    21.09.2025 Cheonan City - Hwaseong 2:2
    14.09.2025 Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong 1:2
    07.09.2025 Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong 0:1
    Latest results of Incheon United
    South Korean K-League 2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonnam11004:133
    2Suwon FC11004:133
    3Ansan Greeners11004:133
    4Asan11003:213
    5Suwon Bluewings11002:113
    6Daegu11001:013
    7Cheonan City10102:201
    8Yongin10102:201
    9Seongnam10101:101
    10Busan10101:101
    11Paju Frontier10012:3-10
    12Seoul E-Land10011:2-10
    13Gimhae10011:4-30
    14Gyeongnam10011:4-30
    15Cheongju10011:4-30
    16Gimpo FC00000:000
    17Hwaseong10010:1-10

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