Incheon United vs Hwaseong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 2 Incheon United - Hwaseong
Result
2:0
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Maxports, Maxports
worldWorldK League TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
86
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
21
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1613
Fouls
1316
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Cho Dong-Jae 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Gerso ,
  • 42', Choi Jun-Hyeok 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Lim C. , Park Jun-seo ,
  • 60', Barrow M. , Kim Bo-Sub ,
  • 62', Dimitri , Jeon S. ,
  • 62', Park Ju-yeong , Luan Costa ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Mugosa S. , Gerso (A),
  • 70', Vojnovic A. 🟨,
  • 71', Mugosa S. (Pen),
  • 72', Kim Byung-Oh , Woo J. ,
  • 72', Choi Jun-Hyeok , Baek Seung-Woo ,
  • 77', Mun Ji-Hwan 🟨,
  • 79', Kim Myung-Sun , Lee Sang-Gi ,
  • 79', Choi Seung-gu , Shin Jin-Ho ,
  • 85', Mugosa S. , Park Ho-Min ,
  • 85', Gerso , Kim Seong-Min ,
  • 90+3', Luan Costa 🟨,

Chances of winning


Incheon United
67.7%
Draw
21.1%
Hwaseong
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 18.9% 10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2% 17.7% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Incheon United - Hwaseong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.33)
    4.4
    (4.93)
    8.12
    (8.7)
    8.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Incheon United - Hwaseong?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Hwaseong will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Incheon: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 12).
    • Incheon has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hwaseong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Incheon is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Incheon will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Incheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Incheon United - Hwaseong were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Hwaseong - Incheon United 0:1
    Latest results of Incheon United
    Latest results of Hwaseong
    15.06.2025 Hwaseong - Ansan Greeners 0:0
    07.06.2025 Gyeongnam - Hwaseong 0:1
    31.05.2025 Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong 3:2
    24.05.2025 Hwaseong - Seoul E-Land 0:1
    17.05.2025 Bucheon - Hwaseong 1:0
    South Korean K-League 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Incheon26194351:173461
    2Suwon Bluewings26156552:351751
    3Jeonnam26129542:321045
    4Bucheon FC 199526126842:36642
    5Busan26117832:28440
    6Seoul E-Land26910736:35137
    7Gimpo FC26910731:23837
    8Seongnam26910725:23237
    9Asan26710935:33231
    10Hwaseong26681224:33-926
    11Cheongju26661427:47-2024
    12Gyeongnam26651523:44-2123
    13Cheonan City26551626:41-1520
    14Ansan Greeners26481420:39-1920

          Promotion ~ K League 1
          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Promotion: )
          Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)