Ibarra vs UD San Fernando – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Galvan C. ,

Chances of winning


Ibarra
26.5%
Draw
29.3%
UD San Fernando
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 29.1% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.3% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.
  • UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ibarra - UD San Fernando Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.4)
    3.06
    (3.1)
    2.04
    (2.7)
    11.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 1.
    • Ibarra in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches UD San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.7:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    Latest results of Ibarra
    Latest results of UD San Fernando
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso301710347:163161
    2San Fernando30187543:212261
    3Mensajero30159647:301754
    4Tamaraceite30165945:331253
    5Panaderia29156844:291551
    6Tenerife C30148846:37950
    7Las Palmas C29129854:391545
    8Lanzarote301281042:33944
    9Real Union Tenerife301281034:29544
    10Villa Santa Brigida301341334:31343
    11CD Marino30814843:331038
    12San Bartolome30791428:54-2630
    13San Miguel30781530:41-1129
    14Arucas296101328:41-1328
    15Yaiza29761627:42-1527
    16Herbania29691435:48-1327
    17Telde29581626:61-3523
    18SD Tenisca30561925:60-3521

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation