Ibiza vs Real Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Davo , Castillo F. (A),
  • 16', Medina U. 🟨,
  • 41', del Olmo I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Indias I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Djanbou S. , Sanchez J. G. ,
  • 46', Jorquera Romero J. , Narro V. ,
  • 55', Zenitagoia E. 🟨,
  • 58', Gil O. 🟨,
  • 61', Zenitagoia E. , Leon P. ,
  • 68', Indias I. , Valls T. ,
  • 68', del Olmo I. , Nsukula G. ,
  • 69', Gil O. , Joao Pedro Palmberg ,
  • 70', Davo , Svensson M. ,
  • 75', Leon P. 🟨,
  • 76', Narro V. 🟨,
  • 81', Bebe , Incera I. ,
  • 81', Castillo F. , El Ftouhi S. ,
  • 84', Romero C. 🟨,
  • 85', Benito P. A. P. , Meca A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ibiza
41.4%
Draw
32.1%
Real Murcia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 30.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ibiza - Real Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.45)
    2.84
    (2.97)
    3.46
    (3.01)
    9.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ibiza - Real Murcia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ibiza - Real Murcia were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:2
    02.03.2025 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:2
    30.11.2024 Ibiza - Real Murcia 1:2
    30.07.2024 Ibiza - Real Murcia 1:2
    17.03.2024 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:0
    Latest results of Ibiza
    11.01.2026 Cartagena - Ibiza 1:4
    04.01.2026 Ibiza - Eldense 0:1
    21.12.2025 Alcorcón - Ibiza 2:2
    14.12.2025 Ibiza - Villarreal B 0:0
    07.12.2025 Sabadell - Ibiza 2:0
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    11.01.2026 Real Murcia - Hércules 1:1
    30.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:2
    21.12.2025 Real Murcia - CE Europa 3:1
    18.12.2025 Real Murcia - Betis 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

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