Ibiza vs Real Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
98
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Davo , Castillo F. (A),
  • 16', Medina U. 🟨,
  • 41', del Olmo I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Indias I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Djanbou S. , Sanchez J. G. ,
  • 46', Jorquera Romero J. , Narro V. ,
  • 55', Zenitagoia E. 🟨,
  • 58', Gil O. 🟨,
  • 61', Zenitagoia E. , Leon P. ,
  • 68', Indias I. , Valls T. ,
  • 68', del Olmo I. , Nsukula G. ,
  • 69', Gil O. , Joao Pedro Palmberg ,
  • 70', Davo , Svensson M. ,
  • 75', Leon P. 🟨,
  • 76', Narro V. 🟨,
  • 81', Bebe , Incera I. ,
  • 81', Castillo F. , El Ftouhi S. ,
  • 84', Romero C. 🟨,
  • 85', Benito P. A. P. , Meca A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ibiza
41.4%
Draw
32.1%
Real Murcia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 30.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ibiza - Real Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.45)
    2.84
    (2.97)
    3.46
    (3.01)
    9.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ibiza - Real Murcia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ibiza - Real Murcia were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:2
    02.03.2025 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:2
    30.11.2024 Ibiza - Real Murcia 1:2
    30.07.2024 Ibiza - Real Murcia 1:2
    17.03.2024 Real Murcia - Ibiza 0:0
    Latest results of Ibiza
    11.01.2026 Cartagena - Ibiza 1:4
    04.01.2026 Ibiza - Eldense 0:1
    21.12.2025 Alcorcón - Ibiza 2:2
    14.12.2025 Ibiza - Villarreal B 0:0
    07.12.2025 Sabadell - Ibiza 2:0
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    11.01.2026 Real Murcia - Hércules 1:1
    30.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia 3:2
    21.12.2025 Real Murcia - CE Europa 3:1
    18.12.2025 Real Murcia - Betis 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell291412340:152554
    2Atl. Madrid B29149643:261751
    3Eldense291311541:281350
    4CE Europa291211643:34947
    5Villarreal B291111738:251344
    6Teruel29119922:23-142
    7Antequera291181033:32141
    8Algeciras291181030:30041
    9Alcorcon29913727:25240
    10Hercules291010933:32140
    11FC Cartagena SAD291010925:28-340
    12Torremolinos29912837:37039
    13UD Ibiza291081130:28238
    14Murcia29991126:29-336
    15Tarazona298101123:30-734
    16Gimnastic29971331:39-834
    17Marbella29771524:35-1128
    18Betis B29771532:48-1628
    19Sanluqueno29761625:42-1727
    20Sevilla FC B294101515:32-1722

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