Result
3:0
03/10/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3
- Referee: Berke B. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | BNT News App |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | BNT 1, BNT 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 5 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Estonia | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Europe | UEFA TV |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hungary | TV2 Play Premium |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Lithuania | Go3 Extra Sports |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/422) | 80% (338/420) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/422) | 80% (338/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (75/105) | 74% (51/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 3.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.18 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Magnusson H. 🟨,
- 10', Petkov L. 🟨,
- 27', Velkovski D. 🟨,
- 32', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sigurdsson A. ↓, Gudjohnsen A. ↑,
- 46', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Gretarsson D. L. ↑,
- 55', Gruev I. ↓, Tsenov E. ↑,
- 55', Petkov L. ↓, Petkov M. ↑,
- 59', Iliev A. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Anderson M. (A),
- 62', Baldursson A. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,
- 62', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Sigurdsson G. ↑,
- 67', Chandarov A. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
- 67', Rusev G. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
- 81', Petkov M. 🟨,
- 82', Haraldsson H. ↓, Tomasson L. ↑,
- 83', Iliev A. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 84', Oskarsson O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', 3 - 0, Ellertsson M. E. ⚽, Oskarsson O. (A),
Chances of winning
Iceland
65.5% | Draw
21.3% | Bulgaria
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iceland's performance.Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bulgaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Iceland - Bulgaria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.78) |
4.44 ↑
(3.54) |
7.19 ↑
(4.73) |
5.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Iceland - Bulgaria?
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Iceland will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). Bulgaria will win (votes: 4 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iceland: 63.8% – 88.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Bulgaria (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Iceland (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Bulgaria (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bulgaria (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Iceland is ranked FIFA: 74., and Bulgaria is ranked FIFA: 85..
- Iceland holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
- No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
How many head-to-head matches has Iceland won against Bulgaria?
Iceland has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bulgaria won against Iceland?
Bulgaria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Iceland - Bulgaria were as follows:
Latest results of Iceland
Latest results of Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League Table
League AGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spain ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugal ✔ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
UEFA Nations League (Relegation ~ League A/B: )
Relegation ~ UEFA Nations League (League B: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Spain is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portugal is Qualified for UEFA Nations League (League A ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
