Norway W vs Iceland W, UEFA Euro Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro Women Norway W - Iceland W
Result
4:3
10/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro Women - Round 3
  • Referee: Pesu A. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
canadaCanadaTSN 2, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
estoniaEstoniaETV 2
finlandFinlandYLE Areena
franceFranceFree, Molotov TV, TMC
georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW, ZDF, ZDF SPORTextra
greeceGreeceERT 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandRUV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandRTE Player
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyRaiPlay, RAI Sport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
montenegroMontenegroTVCG 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 3, Sporza
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayNRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, Kunskapskanalen, SVT 1, SVT 24, SVT Play, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.20
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
80% (206/259)72% (131/181)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.71
Total shots
98
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
40
Passes
80% (206/259)72% (131/181)
Long passes
52% (14/27)30% (9/30)
Passes in final third
65% (47/72)41% (14/34)
Crosses
9% (1/11)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.38
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
04
Tackles
71% (5/7)86% (6/7)
Duels won
2618
Clearances
1613
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.711.29
Goals prevented
0.55-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Jonsdottir S. , Johannsdottir A. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Gaupset S. , Boe Risa V. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 1, Gaupset S. , Boe Risa V. (A),
  • 35', Viggosdottir G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Harviken M. , Lund M. ,
  • 46', Boe Risa V. , Kielland J. ,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. , Gaupset S. (A),
  • 57', Tryggvadottir K. , Albertsdottir A. ,
  • 57', Antonsdottir H. , Brynjarsdottir D. ,
  • 61', Terland E. , Saevik K. ,
  • 64', Lund M. 🟨,
  • 71', Vilhjalmsdottir K. , Andradottir A. ,
  • 71', Jessen S. , Eiriksdottir H. ,
  • 73', Ildhusoy C. , Jensen S. ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ,
  • 79', Mjelde M. , Ostenstad M. ,
  • 82', Johannsdottir A. , Agustsdottir B. ,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Eiriksdottir H. , Jonsdottir S. (A),
  • 90+4', Lund M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Viggosdottir G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Norway W
44.4%
Draw
27.7%
Iceland W
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 26% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 25.3% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norway W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norway W's form might have worsened.
  • Iceland W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway W than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norway W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iceland W than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Norway W - Iceland W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.86)
    3.39
    (3.58)
    3.39
    (3.88)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Norway W - Iceland W?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Iceland will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Norway (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Iceland (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Norway is Qualified for Euro Women (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norway won 2.
    • Norway is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Iceland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Norway might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norway won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norway W - Iceland W were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Norway W - Iceland W 1:1
    04.04.2025 Iceland W - Norway W 0:0
    Latest results of Norway W
    06.07.2025 Norway W - Finland W 2:1
    02.07.2025 Switzerland W - Norway W 1:2
    26.06.2025 Norway W - Sweden W 0:2
    03.06.2025 Switzerland W - Norway W 0:1
    30.05.2025 Norway W - Iceland W 1:1
    Latest results of Iceland W
    06.07.2025 Switzerland W - Iceland W 2:0
    02.07.2025 Iceland W - Finland W 0:1
    27.06.2025 Serbia W - Iceland W 1:3
    03.06.2025 Iceland W - France W 0:2
    30.05.2025 Norway W - Iceland W 1:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1