Result
4:3
28/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 17
- Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (270/358) | 70% (185/265) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (270/358) | 70% (185/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (60/114) | 59% (43/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 4', Fenger M. (Pen),
- 4', 0 - 1, Heintz T. ⚽, Fenger M. (A),
- 14', 0 - 2, Fenger M. ⚽, Clemmensen S. (A),
- 17', Heintz T. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 2, Wikstrom R. ⚽, Hedlund S. (A),
- 20', 1 - 3, Alioum S. ⚽, Heintz T. (A),
- 27', Ostman L. 🟨,
- 41', Yegbe T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', Santos T. 🟨,
- 59', Ostman L. ↓, Zeneli A. ↑,
- 59', Holmen S. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 3, Erlingmark A. (Own goal),
- 63', Kruse D. 🟨,
- 70', Silverholt T. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 71', Thordarson K. ↓, Jagne I. ↑,
- 76', Clemmensen S. ↓, Yeboah R. ↑,
- 77', Santos T. ↓, Svensson G. ↑,
- 84', Wenderson ↓, Thomasen J. ↑,
- 84', Ihler F. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Larsson J. ⚽, Hedlund S. (A),
- 90+5', 4 - 3, Larsson J. ⚽,
- 90+7', Yeboah R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Elfsborg
40.5% | Draw
26.8% | IFK Göteborg
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Göteborg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Göteborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(1.96) |
3.63 ↓
(3.69) |
2.94 ↓
(3.56) |
2.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Göteborg will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 63.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH -0.25 - Elfsborg (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elfsborg will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 3.
- Elfsborg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Göteborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Elfsborg could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against IFK Göteborg?
Elfsborg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Göteborg won against Elfsborg?
IFK Göteborg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg were as follows:
12.07.2025
IFK Göteborg
-
Elfsborg
1:2
25.08.2024
Elfsborg
-
IFK Göteborg
3:1
01.06.2024
IFK Göteborg
-
Elfsborg
1:0
30.10.2023
IFK Göteborg
-
Elfsborg
1:2
16.07.2023
Elfsborg
-
IFK Göteborg
1:1
Latest results of Elfsborg
Latest results of IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:15 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | AIK | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 | GAIS | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 | Hacken | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15:40 | -25 | 18 |
| 13 | Sirius | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | Oster | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 15 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
