Result
2:1
05/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max |
 Croatia | Max |
 Czech-republic | Max |
 Denmark | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max |
 Finland | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max |
 France | France TV Rolan Garros, Max |
 Hungary | Max |
 Norway | MAX |
 Poland | Max |
 Romania | Max |
 Serbia | Max |
 Slovenia | Max |
 Sweden | Max |
 Switzerland | SRF 2, SRF 2 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (37/52) | 53% (24/45) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 35% (12/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 20% (2/10) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 177 km/h | 173 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 149 km/h | 140 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 31% (16/52) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (22/34) | 56% (22/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 69% (11/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 46% (36/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (43/79) | 41% (37/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (97/170) | 43% (73/170) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 43% (12/28) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
53.5% | Iga Swiatek
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryna Sabalenka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iga Swiatek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.94) |
|
2.07 ↑
(1.89) |
4.3%
(4.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek?
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 58 - 77.3%). Swiatek will win (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 67.8% – 86.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Swiatek (votes: 6 - 31.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 5.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2.
- Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Iga Swiatek?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Iga Swiatek has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
18.08.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
18.05.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Aryna Sabalenka
2:0
04.05.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Aryna Sabalenka
2:1
23.12.2023
Iga Swiatek
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:1
05.11.2023
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Iga Swiatek
0:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Iga Swiatek
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Stefanini L. (Q) | Teichmann J. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Collins D. | Burrage J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Danilovic O. | Fernandez L. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Tauson C. (22) | Linette M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Rus A. | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kvitova P. | Golubic V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q) | Anisimova A. (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Shnaider D. (11) | Sobolieva A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Yastremska D. | Aiava D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Romero Gormaz L. (Q) | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sherif M. | Samsonova L. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Stearns P. (28) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Mboko V. (Q) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Eala A. | Arango E. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Paolini J. (4) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Tomljanovic A. | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Korpatsch T. (Q) | Starodubtseva Y. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Potapova A. | Noskova L. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Vekic D. (18) | Blinkova A. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Garcia C. | Pera B. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Siegemund L. | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Sonmez Z. | Svitolina E. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (12) | Riera J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Jovic I. (WC) | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Dolehide C. | Minnen G. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Kudermetova P. | Ostapenko J. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Kostyuk M. (26) | Bejlek S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Cristian J. | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Raducanu E. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Sramkova R. | Swiatek I. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Andreeva M. (6) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Lamens S. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Volynets K. | Garland J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Sierra S. (Q) | Putintseva Y. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Kasatkina D. (17) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 1 |
| 38 | Jeanjean L. (WC) | Begu I. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 39 | Ruse G. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Osaka N. | Badosa P. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 41 | Muchova K. (14) | Parks A. | 1 : 2 |
| 42 | Jacquemot E. (WC) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Avanesyan E. | Kalinina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Boisson L. (WC) | Mertens E. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 45 | Frech M. (25) | Jabeur O. | 2 : 0 |
| 46 | Selekhmeteva O. (Q) | Vondrousova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Carle M. L. (Q) | Li A. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Todoni A. A. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Keys M. (7) | Saville D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 50 | Monnet C. (Q) | Boulter K. | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Wickmayer Y. | Azarenka V. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Gracheva V. | Kenin S. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Haddad Maia B. (23) | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Hibino N. (Q) | Uchijima M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Parry D. (WC) | Montgomery R. | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Navarro E. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 57 | Krejcikova B. (15) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | Kudermetova V. | Tomova V. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Townsend T. (LL) | Cocciaretto E. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bronzetti L. | Alexandrova E. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 61 | Kalinskaya A. (30) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 62 | Kartal S. | Andreeva E. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Paquet C. (WC) | Valentova T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Gadecki O. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Teichmann J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Collins D. | Danilovic O. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tauson C. (22) | Rus A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Golubic V. | Anisimova A. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Shnaider D. (11) | Yastremska D. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Romero Gormaz L. | Samsonova L. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lys E. | Mboko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Arango E. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Paolini J. (4) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Starodubtseva Y. | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Vekic D. (18) | Pera B. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bondar A. | Svitolina E. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (12) | Jovic I. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Dolehide C. | Ostapenko J. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bejlek S. | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Raducanu E. | Swiatek I. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (6) | Krueger A. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Garland J. | Putintseva Y. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Kasatkina D. (17) | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Ruse G. | Badosa P. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Parks A. | Jacquemot E. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Kalinina A. | Boisson L. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Frech M. (25) | Vondrousova M. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Li A. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (7) | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Azarenka V. | Kenin S. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Baptiste H. | Hibino N. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Montgomery R. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Krejcikova B. (15) | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Cocciaretto E. | Alexandrova E. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Bouzkova M. | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Valentova T. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Danilovic O. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tauson C. (22) | Anisimova A. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Yastremska D. | Samsonova L. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mboko V. | Zheng Q. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (4) | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Pera B. | Svitolina E. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (12) | Ostapenko J. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cristian J. | Swiatek I. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Putintseva Y. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kasatkina D. (17) | Badosa P. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Jacquemot E. | Boisson L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Vondrousova M. | Pegula J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Keys M. (7) | Kenin S. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Baptiste H. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Kudermetova V. | Alexandrova E. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouzkova M. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Anisimova A. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Samsonova L. (19) | Zheng Q. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (4) | Svitolina E. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. (12) | Swiatek I. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (6) | Kasatkina D. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Boisson L. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Keys M. (7) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Alexandrova E. (20) | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Svitolina E. (13) | Swiatek I. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (6) | Boisson L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Keys M. (7) | Gauff C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Swiatek I. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Boisson L. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Gauff C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
