Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Bad Homburg Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek
Result
0:2
26/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (30/41)75% (33/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (16/29)56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
25% (11/44)27% (11/41)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (14/32)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
65% (46/71)66% (51/77)
Return Points Won
34% (26/77)35% (25/71)
Total Points Won
49% (72/148)51% (76/148)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Ekaterina Alexandrova
41.7%
Iga Swiatek
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iga Swiatek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.37)

    1.64
    (1.49)
    4.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Swiatek will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 35.9%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 2 - 50%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 18. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Swiatek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Swiatek will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
    25.03.2024 Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova 0:2
    14.02.2024 Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:0
    01.05.2023 Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:1
    08.10.2022 Iga Swiatek - Ekaterina Alexandrova 2:1
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Kudermetova V. (LL)Siniakova K. (Q)0 : 2
    3Osaka N. (WC)Danilovic O. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kostyuk M.Navarro E. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (3)Bye
    6Frech M.Tauson C.1 : 2
    7Tomljanovic A. (Q)Noskova L.0 : 2
    8Vekic D.Shnaider D. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Bencic B.2 : 0
    10Putintseva Y.Sakkari M. (WC)0 : 2
    11Azarenka V. (Q)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeSwiatek I. (4)
    13Svitolina E. (7)Mertens E.2 : 0
    14Krueger A. (LL)Haddad Maia B.0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Maria T. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    2Osaka N.Navarro E. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (3)Tauson C.2 : 1
    4Noskova L.Vekic D.2 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Sakkari M.2 : 1
    6Azarenka V.Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    7Svitolina E. (7)Haddad Maia B.1 : 2
    8Fernandez L.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Navarro E. (5)2 : 1
    2Andreeva M. (3)Noskova L.0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (8)Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    4Haddad Maia B.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Noskova L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (4)Paolini J. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Swiatek I. (4)2 : 0