Result
0:2
26/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (30/41) | 75% (33/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 56% (18/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 27% (11/41) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 45% (13/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 33% (2/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (46/71) | 66% (51/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (26/77) | 35% (25/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (72/148) | 51% (76/148) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 18% (2/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 55% (12/22) |
Chances of winning
Ekaterina Alexandrova
41.7% | Iga Swiatek
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Alexandrova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iga Swiatek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.37) |
|
1.64 ↑
(1.49) |
4.8%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Swiatek will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 35.9% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 2 - 50%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 18. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Swiatek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Swiatek will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandrova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ekaterina Alexandrova won against Iga Swiatek?
Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Iga Swiatek has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
25.03.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0:2
14.02.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:0
01.05.2023
Iga Swiatek
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:1
08.10.2022
Iga Swiatek
-
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2:1
Latest results of Ekaterina Alexandrova
Latest results of Iga Swiatek
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. (LL) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (WC) | Danilovic O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Frech M. | Tauson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Vekic D. | Shnaider D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bencic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Putintseva Y. | Sakkari M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Azarenka V. (Q) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (7) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Krueger A. (LL) | Haddad Maia B. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. | Maria T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osaka N. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (3) | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Noskova L. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Azarenka V. | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Navarro E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (3) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Haddad Maia B. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Noskova L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (4) | Paolini J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Swiatek I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
