Result
2:0
27/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 France | beIN Sports 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Italy | Super Tennis |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 76% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (26/32) | 42% (16/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 36% (5/14) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (5/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 19% (6/32) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (5/10) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 100% (1/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (31/42) | 40% (21/52) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 26% (11/42) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (62/94) | 34% (32/94) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 38% (3/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 13% (1/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 25% (4/16) |
Chances of winning
Iga Swiatek
71.7% | Jasmine Paolini
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.4) |
|
3.34 ↑
(3) |
4.7%
(4.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Paolini will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8. Paolini is ranked WTA: 4.
- Swiatek is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Paolini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swiatek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Swiatek is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Jasmine Paolini?
Iga Swiatek has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Iga Swiatek?
Jasmine Paolini has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
19.12.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Jasmine Paolini
1:0
18.11.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:1
08.06.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
30.08.2022
Iga Swiatek
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Latest results of Iga Swiatek
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. (LL) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (WC) | Danilovic O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Frech M. | Tauson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Vekic D. | Shnaider D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bencic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Putintseva Y. | Sakkari M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Azarenka V. (Q) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (7) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Krueger A. (LL) | Haddad Maia B. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. | Maria T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osaka N. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (3) | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Noskova L. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Azarenka V. | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Navarro E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (3) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Haddad Maia B. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Noskova L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (4) | Paolini J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Swiatek I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
