Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySuper Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
58
1st Serve Percentage
59%50%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (28/45)63% (27/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (16/31)40% (17/43)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)45% (5/11)
1st Return Points Won
37% (16/43)38% (17/45)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (26/43)48% (15/31)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
58% (44/76)51% (44/86)
Return Points Won
49% (42/86)42% (32/76)
Total Points Won
53% (86/162)47% (76/162)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)54% (7/13)
Return Games Won
46% (6/13)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
26.6%
Iga Swiatek
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 76.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Iga Swiatek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (3.9)

    1.3
    (1.2)
    5.1%
    (9%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Iga Swiatek?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Swiatek will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 57.6%86.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Ostapenko (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • H/A, 2nd Set - Ostapenko (2.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +7 Games - Ostapenko (1.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +6.5 Games - Ostapenko (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +6 Games - Ostapenko (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +5.5 Games - Ostapenko (1.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +5 Games - Ostapenko (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +4.5 Games - Ostapenko (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +4 Games - Ostapenko (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games - Ostapenko (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3 Games - Ostapenko (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Ostapenko (7.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games, 1st Set - Ostapenko (3.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +2.5 Games - Ostapenko (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 Games - Ostapenko (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games - Ostapenko (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Ostapenko (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games, 2nd Set - Ostapenko (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games, 2nd Set - Ostapenko (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Games, 1st Set - Ostapenko (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games, 1st Set - Ostapenko (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Ostapenko (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5 Games - Ostapenko (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 54 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 53 - 98.1%). Swiatek (votes: 1 - 1.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.
    • Recent matches Ostapenko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Swiatek is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Swiatek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Swiatek is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Swiatek to win the game is with odds 1.31.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelena Ostapenko - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Jelena Ostapenko - Iga Swiatek 2:0
    03.09.2023 Iga Swiatek - Jelena Ostapenko 1:2
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Andreeva M. (6)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (4)Muchova K. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rybakina E. (1)Muchova K. (7)2 : 0