Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis WTA Bad Homburg Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek
28/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Final
Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
39
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (29/41)68% (27/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (18/28)59% (17/29)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (13/40)29% (12/41)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (12/29)36% (10/28)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
68% (47/69)64% (44/69)
Return Points Won
36% (25/69)32% (22/69)
Total Points Won
52% (72/138)48% (66/138)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
33.4%
Iga Swiatek
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 67.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.68)

    1.43
    (1.39)
    4.5%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swiatek will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swiatek (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Swiatek (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 3. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 2.
    • Pegula has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Swiatek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Swiatek is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
    07.11.2024 Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula Canceled
    04.09.2024 Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    06.11.2023 Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek 0:2
    12.08.2023 Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula 1:2
    18.02.2023 Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula 2:0
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Kudermetova V. (LL)Siniakova K. (Q)0 : 2
    3Osaka N. (WC)Danilovic O. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kostyuk M.Navarro E. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (3)Bye
    6Frech M.Tauson C.1 : 2
    7Tomljanovic A. (Q)Noskova L.0 : 2
    8Vekic D.Shnaider D. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Bencic B.2 : 0
    10Putintseva Y.Sakkari M. (WC)0 : 2
    11Azarenka V. (Q)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeSwiatek I. (4)
    13Svitolina E. (7)Mertens E.2 : 0
    14Krueger A. (LL)Haddad Maia B.0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Maria T. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    2Osaka N.Navarro E. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (3)Tauson C.2 : 1
    4Noskova L.Vekic D.2 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Sakkari M.2 : 1
    6Azarenka V.Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    7Svitolina E. (7)Haddad Maia B.1 : 2
    8Fernandez L.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Navarro E. (5)2 : 1
    2Andreeva M. (3)Noskova L.0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (8)Swiatek I. (4)0 : 2
    4Haddad Maia B.Paolini J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Noskova L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (4)Paolini J. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Swiatek I. (4)2 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    franceFrancebeIN Sports 2
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
    italyItalySuper Tennis
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
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