Result
28/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 France | beIN Sports 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Italy | Super Tennis |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (29/41) | 68% (27/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 29% (12/41) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 36% (10/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (47/69) | 64% (44/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 32% (22/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (72/138) | 48% (66/138) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 0% (0/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 41% (9/22) |
Chances of winning
Jessica Pegula
33.4% | Iga Swiatek
66.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.68) |
|
1.43 ↑
(1.39) |
4.5%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swiatek will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swiatek (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +2.5 Games - Swiatek (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Pegula is ranked WTA: 3. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 2.
- Pegula has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Swiatek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Pegula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Swiatek is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Iga Swiatek?
Jessica Pegula has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Jessica Pegula?
Iga Swiatek has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek were as follows:
07.11.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Jessica Pegula
Canceled
04.09.2024
Iga Swiatek
-
Jessica Pegula
0:2
06.11.2023
Jessica Pegula
-
Iga Swiatek
0:2
12.08.2023
Iga Swiatek
-
Jessica Pegula
1:2
18.02.2023
Iga Swiatek
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Latest results of Iga Swiatek
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. (LL) | Siniakova K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (WC) | Danilovic O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kostyuk M. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Frech M. | Tauson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tomljanovic A. (Q) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Vekic D. | Shnaider D. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Bencic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Putintseva Y. | Sakkari M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Azarenka V. (Q) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Swiatek I. (4) | |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (7) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Krueger A. (LL) | Haddad Maia B. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fernandez L. | Maria T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osaka N. | Navarro E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (3) | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Noskova L. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Azarenka V. | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fernandez L. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Navarro E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (3) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. (8) | Swiatek I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Haddad Maia B. | Paolini J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Noskova L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (4) | Paolini J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (1) | Swiatek I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
