Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	1
Double Faults
2	2
1st serve percentage
65%	74%
1st serve points won
53% (19/36)	79% (23/29)
2nd serve points won
21% (4/19)	60% (6/10)
Break Points Saved
2/7	0/0
1st return points won
21% (6/29)	47% (17/36)
2nd return points won
40% (4/10)	79% (15/19)
Break Points Converted
0/0	5/7
Service Points Won
42% (23/55)	74% (29/39)
Return Points Won
26% (10/39)	58% (32/55)
Total Points Won
35% (33/94)	65% (61/94)
Last 10 balls
4	6
Match points saved
1	0
Service games won
29% (2/7)	100% (7/7)
Return games won
0% (0/7)	71% (5/7)
Total games won
14% (2/14)	86% (12/14)

Chances of winning

Karolina Muchova
36.5%

Iga Swiatek
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iga Swiatek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.32)		1.5 ↓ (1.59)	5% (6%)

What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Swiatek will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 46.4% – 99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%). Swiatek (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 Sets - Muchova (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +3 Games - Muchova (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Muchova (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Muchova (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Muchova (4.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Muchova (votes: 6 - 75%). Swiatek (votes: 2 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Muchova is ranked WTA: 13. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 0.
At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
Swiatek will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Karolina Muchova won against Iga Swiatek?

Karolina Muchova has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Iga Swiatek won against Karolina Muchova?

Iga Swiatek has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek were as follows:

11.03.2025 Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek 0:2

31.12.2024 Iga Swiatek - Karolina Muchova 2:0

10.08.2023 Iga Swiatek - Karolina Muchova 2:1

10.06.2023 Iga Swiatek - Karolina Muchova 2:1

Latest results of Karolina Muchova

09.03.2026 Karolina Muchova - Antonia Ruzic 2:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Karolina Muchova - Anna Bondar 2:0 ✺

16.02.2026 Moyuka Uchijima - Karolina Muchova Canceled ✺

14.02.2026 Karolina Muchova - Victoria Mboko 2:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Iga Swiatek

09.03.2026 Maria Sakkari - Iga Swiatek 0:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Kayla Day - Iga Swiatek 0:2 ✺

12.02.2026 Iga Swiatek - Maria Sakkari 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Iga Swiatek - Darya Kasatkina 2:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Iga Swiatek - Janice Tjen 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Sakatsume H. (Q)	Parks A. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Cristian J.	Tjen J.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Joint M. (29)
5	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
6	Stephens S. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
7	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	McNally C.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
9	Mboko V. (10)	Bye
10	Birrell K.	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 0
11	Sonmez Z.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (25)	Bye
14	Seidel E.	Zakharova A. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Galfi D. (LL)	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Anisimova A. (6)
17	Gauff C. (4)	Bye
18	Andreescu B. (WC)	Rakhimova K. (Q)	1 : 2
19	Yastremska D.	Zhang S.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Eala A. (31)
21	Shnaider D. (21)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Maria T.	2 : 1
23	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Noskova L. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Gibson T. (Q)	Li A.	2 : 0
27	Putintseva Y.	Badosa P.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
29	Wang Xin. (30)	Bye
30	Tomljanovic A.	Ruse G.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Stakusic M. (Q)	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
33	Pegula J. (5)	Bye
34	Vekic D. (WC)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
35	Volynets K. (WC)	Sramkova R. (RET.)	1 : 0
36	Bye	Ostapenko J. (26)
37	Mertens E. (22)	Bye
38	Bucsa C.	Vidmanova D. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Hunter S. (Q)	Frech M.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Keys M. (15)	Bye
42	Parry D. (Q)	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Tararudee L. (Q)	Kartal S.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Navarro E. (20)
45	Kostyuk M. (28)	Bye
46	Bouzkova M.	Townsend T. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Arango E.	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Rybakina E. (3)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Stearns P.	Sierra S.	0 : 2
51	Siniakova K.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Fernandez L. (27)
53	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
54	Linette M.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
55	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (9)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Jacquemot E.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
59	Ruzic A.	Brady J. (WC)	2 : 1
60	Bye	Zheng Q. (24)
61	Sakkari M. (32)	Bye
62	Gracheva V.	Tagger L. (WC)	0 : 2
63	Jones F.	Day K. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Sakatsume H.	2 : 0
2	Cristian J.	Joint M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Jovic I. (18)	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Jimenez Kasintseva V.	Osaka N. (16)	0 : 2
5	Mboko V. (10)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
6	Sonmez Z.	Kalinskaya A. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (25)	Zakharova A.	2 : 0
8	Blinkova A.	Anisimova A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (4)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
10	Yastremska D.	Eala A. (31)	1 : 2
11	Shnaider D. (21)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
12	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
14	Putintseva Y.	Tauson C. (17)	0 : 2
15	Wang Xin. (30)	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
17	Pegula J. (5)	Vekic D.	2 : 1
18	Volynets K.	Ostapenko J. (26)	0 : 2
19	Mertens E. (22)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
20	Hunter S.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Keys M. (15)	Parry D.	2 : 0
22	Kartal S.	Navarro E. (20)	2 : 1
23	Kostyuk M. (28)	Townsend T.	2 : 0
24	Baptiste H.	Rybakina E. (3)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Sierra S.	2 : 0
26	Siniakova K.	Fernandez L. (27)	2 : 1
27	Samsonova L. (19)	Krueger A.	1 : 2
28	Siegemund L.	Svitolina E. (9)	1 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
30	Ruzic A.	Zheng Q. (24)	2 : 0
31	Sakkari M. (32)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
32	Day K.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Osaka N. (16)	1 : 2
3	Mboko V. (10)	Kalinskaya A. (23)	2 : 0
4	Raducanu E. (25)	Anisimova A. (6)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (RET.) (4)	Eala A. (31)	0 : 1
6	Cirstea S.	Noskova L. (14)	1 : 2
7	Gibson T.	Tauson C. (17)	2 : 1
8	Tomljanovic A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Pegula J. (5)	Ostapenko J. (26)	2 : 1
10	Mertens E. (22)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Keys M. (15)	Kartal S.	1 : 2
12	Kostyuk M. (28)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Siniakova K.	1 : 2
14	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
16	Sakkari M. (32)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
2	Mboko V. (10)	Anisimova A. (6)	2 : 0
3	Eala A. (31)	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
4	Gibson T.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Pegula J. (5)	Bencic B. (12)	2 : 0
6	Kartal S. (RET.)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 1
7	Siniakova K. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 1
8	Muchova K. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mboko V. (10)	2 : 0
2	Noskova L. (14)	Gibson T.	2 : 1
3	Pegula J. (5)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
4	Svitolina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Noskova L. (14)	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Svitolina E. (9)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Rybakina E. (3)

2 : 1