Iga Swiatek vs Ludmilla Samsonova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Wimbledon
Tennis WTA Wimbledon Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova
Result
2:0
09/07/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
54%62%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (26/37)63% (26/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (16/31)28% (7/25)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)38% (3/8)
Average 1st Serve Speed
179 km/h176 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
144 km/h147 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (15/41)30% (11/37)
2nd Return Points Won
72% (18/25)48% (15/31)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)20% (2/10)
Winners
2116
Unforced Errors
2438
Net Points Won
67% (2/3)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
62% (42/68)50% (33/66)
Return Points Won
50% (33/66)38% (26/68)
Total Points Won
56% (75/134)44% (59/134)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)
Distance Covered (metres)
19701823

Chances of winning


Iga Swiatek
71.6%		Ludmilla Samsonova
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
    •

    Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.35 ↑
    (1.34)
    		3.35 ↓
    (3.36)    		 4.1%
    (4.4%)
    What is the prediction for Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Samsonova will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swiatek: 46.9% – 78.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Samsonova (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Samsonova (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Swiatek is ranked WTA: 4. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Swiatek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Samsonova is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Samsonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Swiatek is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova were as follows:
    02.09.2024 Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0
    08.10.2023 Ludmilla Samsonova - Iga Swiatek 0:2
    22.02.2023 Iga Swiatek - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    07.07.2025 Iga Swiatek - Clara Tauson 2:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Iga Swiatek - Danielle Collins 2:0 ✺
    03.07.2025 Iga Swiatek - Caty McNally 2:1 ✺
    01.07.2025 Iga Swiatek - Polina Kudermetova 2:0
    27.06.2025 Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
    07.07.2025 Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2 ✺
    03.07.2025 Yulia Starodubtseva - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2 ✺
    01.07.2025 Maya Joint - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2 ✺
    23.06.2025 Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova Canceled ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Branstine C. (Q)2 : 0
    2Sun L.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    3Raducanu E.Xu M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Kessler M. (32)2 : 0
    5Mertens E. (24)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 0
    6Li A.Golubic V.2 : 1
    7Gracheva V.Sasnovich A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Bondar A.Svitolina E. (14)0 : 2
    9Badosa P. (9)Boulter K.1 : 2
    10Sierra S. (LL)Gadecki O.2 : 0
    11Todoni A. A.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    12Birrell K.Vekic D. (22)0 : 2
    13Fernandez L. (29)Klugman H. (WC)2 : 0
    14Stearns P.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    15Danilovic O.Zhang S. (Q)2 : 0
    16Ruse G.Keys M. (6)1 : 2
    17Paolini J. (4)Sevastova A.2 : 1
    18Rakhimova K.Ito A.2 : 1
    19Lys E.Yuan Y.2 : 1
    20Pera B.Noskova L. (30)0 : 2
    21Haddad Maia B. (21)Sramkova R.2 : 0
    22Dart H. (WC)Galfi D.1 : 2
    23Wickmayer Y.Zarazua R.0 : 2
    24Putintseva Y.Anisimova A. (13)0 : 2
    25Shnaider D. (12)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    26Parry D. (Q)Martic P. (Q)2 : 1
    27Tomova V.Jabeur O. (RET.)1 : 0
    28Kartal S.Ostapenko J. (20)2 : 1
    29Krueger A. (31)Stojsavljevic M. (WC)2 : 0
    30Pavlyuchenkova A.Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    31Osaka N.Gibson T. (Q)2 : 0
    32Siniakova K.Zheng Q. (5)2 : 1
    33Andreeva M. (7)Sherif M.2 : 0
    34Teichmann J.Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    35Baptiste H.Cirstea S.2 : 1
    36Mboko V. (LL)Frech M. (25)2 : 0
    37Krejcikova B. (17)Eala A.2 : 1
    38Dolehide C.Rus A.2 : 0
    39Kudermetova V.Zhu L.2 : 0
    40Kvitova P. (WC)Navarro E. (10)0 : 2
    41Muchova K. (15)Wang Xin.0 : 2
    42Sonmez Z.Cristian J.2 : 0
    43Lamens S.Jovic I. (Q)2 : 0
    44Hon P. (Q)Alexandrova E. (18)0 : 2
    45Linette M. (27)Jacquemot E. (Q)1 : 2
    46Parks A.Bencic B.0 : 2
    47Volynets K.Maria T.2 : 1
    48Cocciaretto E.Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    49Swiatek I. (8)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    50McNally C.Burrage J. (WC)2 : 0
    51Osorio C.Collins D.0 : 2
    52Erjavec V. (Q)Kostyuk M. (26)2 : 1
    53Tauson C. (23)Watson H. (WC)2 : 1
    54Kalinskaya A.Stojanovic N. (Q)2 : 0
    55Sakkari M.Blinkova A.2 : 0
    56Avanesyan E.Rybakina E. (11)0 : 2
    57Kasatkina D. (16)Arango E.2 : 0
    58Begu I.Juvan K. (Q)2 : 1
    59Starodubtseva Y.Jones F. (WC)2 : 1
    60Joint M.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    61Kenin S. (28)Townsend T. (Q)2 : 0
    62Bouzas Maneiro J.Seidel E. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    63Azarenka V.Zakharova A. (Q)1 : 2
    64Yastremska D.Gauff C. (2)2 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    2Raducanu E.Vondrousova M.2 : 0
    3Mertens E. (24)Li A.2 : 1
    4Sasnovich A.Svitolina E. (14)0 : 2
    5Boulter K.Sierra S.1 : 2
    6Bucsa C.Vekic D. (22)2 : 0
    7Fernandez L. (29)Siegemund L.0 : 2
    8Danilovic O.Keys M. (6)0 : 2
    9Paolini J. (4)Rakhimova K.1 : 2
    10Lys E.Noskova L. (30)1 : 2
    11Haddad Maia B. (21)Galfi D.0 : 2
    12Zarazua R.Anisimova A. (13)0 : 2
    13Shnaider D. (12)Parry D.0 : 2
    14Tomova V.Kartal S.0 : 2
    15Krueger A. (31)Pavlyuchenkova A.0 : 2
    16Osaka N.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    17Andreeva M. (7)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    18Baptiste H.Mboko V.2 : 0
    19Krejcikova B. (17)Dolehide C.2 : 1
    20Kudermetova V.Navarro E. (10)0 : 2
    21Wang Xin.Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    22Lamens S.Alexandrova E. (18)0 : 2
    23Jacquemot E.Bencic B.1 : 2
    24Volynets K.Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    25Swiatek I. (8)McNally C.2 : 1
    26Collins D.Erjavec V.2 : 0
    27Tauson C. (23)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Rybakina E. (11)0 : 2
    29Kasatkina D. (16)Begu I.2 : 1
    30Starodubtseva Y.Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    31Kenin S. (28)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    32Zakharova A.Yastremska D.1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (24)Svitolina E. (14)2 : 0
    3Sierra S.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    4Siegemund L.Keys M. (6)2 : 0
    5Rakhimova K.Noskova L. (30)0 : 2
    6Galfi D.Anisimova A. (13)1 : 2
    7Parry D.Kartal S.0 : 2
    8Pavlyuchenkova A.Osaka N.2 : 1
    9Andreeva M. (7)Baptiste H.2 : 0
    10Krejcikova B. (17)Navarro E. (10)1 : 2
    11Sonmez Z.Alexandrova E. (18)0 : 2
    12Bencic B.Cocciaretto E.2 : 1
    13Swiatek I. (8)Collins D.2 : 0
    14Tauson C. (23)Rybakina E. (11)2 : 0
    15Kasatkina D. (16)Samsonova L. (19)0 : 2
    16Bouzas Maneiro J.Yastremska D.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E. (24)2 : 0
    2Sierra S.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    3Noskova L. (30)Anisimova A. (13)1 : 2
    4Kartal S.Pavlyuchenkova A.0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (7)Navarro E. (10)2 : 0
    6Alexandrova E. (18)Bencic B.0 : 2
    7Swiatek I. (8)Tauson C. (23)2 : 0
    8Samsonova L. (19)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Siegemund L.2 : 1
    2Anisimova A. (13)Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    3Andreeva M. (7)Bencic B.0 : 2
    4Swiatek I. (8)Samsonova L. (19)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (13)1 : 2
    2Bencic B.Swiatek I. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Anisimova A. (13)Swiatek I. (8)0 : 2
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