Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/04/2026 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
62%61%
1st serve points won
62% (36/58)58% (37/64)
2nd serve points won
42% (15/36)46% (19/41)
Break Points Saved
5/119/14
1st return points won
45% (29/64)40% (23/58)
2nd return points won
54% (22/41)58% (21/36)
Break Points Converted
5/146/11
Service Points Won
54% (51/94)53% (56/105)
Return Points Won
47% (49/105)46% (43/94)
Total Points Won
50% (100/199)50% (99/199)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
57% (8/14)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)43% (6/14)
Total games won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Iga Swiatek
64.3%
Mirra Andreeva
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Mirra Andreeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.55)

    2.7
    (2.47)
    4.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Swiatek (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 Games - Andreeva (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Iga Swiatek will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iga Swiatek will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Andreeva (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Swiatek is ranked WTA: 4. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 9.
    • Recent performances by Swiatek have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Andreeva is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Swiatek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Swiatek might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek 2:1
    20.02.2025 Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek 2:0
    17.08.2024 Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva 2:1
    Latest results of Iga Swiatek
    Latest results of Mirra Andreeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Korpatsch T. (WC)Shnaider D.0 : 2
    3Eala A.Fernandez L.0 : 2
    4Sonmez Z. (Q)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    6Siegemund L.Tomova V. (LL)2 : 1
    7Parks A. (Q)Noha Akugue N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Ostapenko J.Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Knutson G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Noskova L.1 : 2
    11Lys E.Badosa P. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeSvitolina E. (4)
    13Muchova K. (7)Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Mertens E.Seidel E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Ruzic A.Samsonova L.0 : 2
    16ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Shnaider D.2 : 0
    2Fernandez L.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    3Swiatek I. (3)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    4Parks A.Andreeva M. (6)0 : 2
    5Alexandrova E. (8)Noskova L.0 : 2
    6Lys E.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Muchova K. (7)Mertens E.2 : 1
    8Samsonova L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Fernandez L.2 : 1
    2Swiatek I. (3)Andreeva M. (6)1 : 2
    3Noskova L.Svitolina E. (4)0 : 2
    4Muchova K. (7)Gauff C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Andreeva M. (6)2 : 0
    2Svitolina E. (4)Muchova K. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rybakina E. (1)Muchova K. (7)2 : 0