Igdirspor vs Amed SK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
02/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.421.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
34
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
34
Passes
75% (227/304)75% (225/300)
Yellow cards
81
Expected goals (xG)
1.421.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.26
Total shots
79
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
65
Shots outside the box
14
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1018
Passes
75% (227/304)75% (225/300)
Long passes
42% (30/72)27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
44% (34/77)57% (47/82)
Crosses
13% (1/8)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.82
Throw ins
1514
Fouls
1810
Tackles
43% (3/7)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
1612
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.261.20
Goals prevented
-1.74-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Fofana M. ,
  • 14', Vural G. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Kaldirim H. A. , Saba D. (A),
  • 33', Doh M. 🟨,
  • 37', Engin A. 🟨,
  • 44', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Diagne M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Diagne M. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Doh M. , Erdogan D. ,
  • 49', 2 - 3, Saba D. , Diagne M. (A),
  • 59', Yesil M. , Serbest T. ,
  • 69', Engin A. , Mendes R. ,
  • 69', Guctekin O. K. , Guneren A. K. ,
  • 80', 3 - 3, Cankaya A. R. ,
  • 84', Fofana M. , Loshaj F. ,
  • 85', Ustundag C. , Mujde A. ,
  • 85', Moreno D. , Dimitrov Z. ,
  • 86', Bacuna L. 🟨,
  • 87', Loshaj F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Saba D. , Hasani F. ,
  • 90+2', Afena-Gyan F. , Bassan E. ,
  • 90+4', Mendes R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Bassan E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bruno G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
20.1%
Draw
20.9%
Amed SK
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 26.8% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.5% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Igdirspor's form might have worsened.
  • Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amed SK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Igdirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amed SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Igdirspor - Amed SK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.59
    (3.23)
    4.41
    (3.45)
    1.57
    (2.07)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Amed SK?
  • Users Predictions: Amed SK will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).
    • Igdirspor has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Amed has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Amed is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Igdirspor: Kaya G. (Yellow Cards) Selvi A. (Yellow Cards) Suarez A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Amed: Demir D. (Knee Injury) Traore A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Amed SK were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Amed SK - Igdirspor 3:0
    04.04.2025 Amed SK - Igdirspor 0:0
    25.11.2024 Igdirspor - Amed SK 1:1
    21.04.2024 Amed SK - Igdirspor 0:2
    10.12.2023 Igdirspor - Amed SK 1:1
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    26.04.2026 Sivasspor - Igdirspor 2:1
    19.04.2026 Igdirspor - Pendikspor 1:1
    04.04.2026 Erzurumspor - Igdirspor 2:1
    Latest results of Amed SK
    26.04.2026 Amed SK - Bodrumspor 1:1
    19.04.2026 Bandırmaspor - Amed SK 2:0
    13.04.2026 Amed SK - Umraniyespor 2:2
    09.04.2026 Erokspor - Amed SK 1:1
    05.04.2026 Amed SK - Boluspor 6:1
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation