Erokspor vs Igdirspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Erokspor - Igdirspor
Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 8
  • Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.69
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
87% (440/506)77% (231/299)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.530.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.17
Total shots
96
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
50
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
149
Passes
87% (440/506)77% (231/299)
Long passes
48% (23/48)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
73% (94/128)66% (41/62)
Crosses
18% (4/22)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.47
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
914
Tackles
82% (9/11)57% (13/23)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
833
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.170.70
Goals prevented
-1.83-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Engin A. , Fofana M. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Koita F. , Fofana M. (A),
  • 18', Guctekin O. K. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 2, Kayode O. , Amilton (A),
  • 45', Asan S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 2, Niyaz R. , Lus B. (A),
  • 54', Niyaz R. 🟨,
  • 55', Asan S. , Rotariu D. ,
  • 55', Engin A. , Akcan E. ,
  • 57', 2 - 3, Fofana M. , Rotariu D. (A),
  • 62', Erdogan D. , Guneren A. K. ,
  • 63', Okyar M. , Jack R. ,
  • 65', Amilton 🟨,
  • 72', Koita F. 🟨,
  • 72', Koita F. , Mendes R. ,
  • 78', Niyaz R. , Karaman A. ,
  • 78', Lus B. , Faye M. ,
  • 81', Kanga G. , Catakovic H. ,
  • 90+2', Faye M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Vural G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Erokspor
39.3%
Draw
27.9%
Igdirspor
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 27.5% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 27% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.
  • Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igdirspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erokspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igdirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Erokspor - Igdirspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.89)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    2.83
    (2.28)
    1.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Erokspor - Igdirspor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Igdirspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 8).
    • Erokspor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Igdirspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Igdirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Erokspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Igdirspor: Conte A. (Red Card) Kayatekin A. (Inactive) Ozturk Y. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Igdirspor were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Erokspor - Igdirspor 3:1
    15.09.2024 Igdirspor - Erokspor 1:2
    Latest results of Erokspor
    24.09.2025 Erokspor - İstanbulspor 5:0
    20.09.2025 Manisa FK - Erokspor 3:4
    12.09.2025 Erokspor - Hatayspor 4:1
    30.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Erokspor 0:2
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    23.09.2025 Igdirspor - Hatayspor 4:2
    19.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1
    30.08.2025 Manisa FK - Igdirspor 1:1
    23.08.2025 Igdirspor - Vanspor 0:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodrumspor852119:81117
    2Erokspor851224:101416
    3Pendikspor843115:8715
    4Corum843112:7515
    5Erzurumspor835015:8714
    6Igdir FK842214:11314
    7Amedspor841319:13613
    8Boluspor833214:10412
    9Vanspor FK83328:6212
    10Serik Spor83328:12-412
    11Bandirmaspor832312:10211
    12Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    13Keciorengucu82429:8110
    14Sivasspor823310:919
    15Sakaryaspor823310:16-69
    16Manisa FK822412:16-48
    17Umraniyespor82245:11-68
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor80174:31-27-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation